Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 14, 2025 7.00pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Etihad Stadium
  • Cathal Heffernan 6' goal
  • Justin Oboavwoduo 15' goal
  • Divin Mubama 29' goal
  • Divin Mubama 56' goal
  • Michael Okeke 74' yellowcard
  • Jaden Heskey 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rory Finneran 35'

Manchester City Under-21s vs Newcastle United Under-21s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Apr 7, 2025 7.00pm
Fulham U21s 1 - 1 Man City U21s
Goals scored
70
Top scorer
Divin Mubama

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Premier League 2 - Div 1
Last game
Apr 7, 2025 7.00pm
Newcastle U21s 7 - 1 Reading U21s
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Ben Parkinson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.18%) and 3-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result

Manchester City Under-21s 50.46% (+0.41)
Draw 19.92% (-0.05)
Newcastle United Under-21s 29.61% (-0.36)

Both Teams to Score: 

74.27% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5 76.83% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 23.17% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 57.51% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 42.49% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 37.98% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 62.02% (-0.02)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 89.94% (+0.12)
Under 0.5 10.06% (-0.11)
Over 1.5 66.83% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 33.17% (-0.25)

Newcastle United Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5 82.59% (-0.17)
Under 0.5 17.41% (+0.18)
Over 1.5 52.15% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 47.85% (+0.30)

Score analysis

Manchester City Under-21s 50.46%
Draw 19.92%
Newcastle United Under-21s 29.61%
Manchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.08% (+0.03)
3-1 @ 6.18% (+0.05)
3-2 @ 5.4% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.62% (+0.04)
1-0 @ 4.02% (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.55% (+0.05)
3-0 @ 3.54% (+0.05)
4-2 @ 3.1% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 2.03% (+0.04)
4-3 @ 1.81% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.63% (+0.03)
5-2 @ 1.42% (+0.02)
Other @ 5.08%
Total : 50.46%
Draw
2-2 @ 7.06% (-0.02)
1-1 @ 7.03% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 3.15% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.92%
Newcastle United Under-21s
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.05)
0-1 @ 3.06% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.04)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.03)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.03)
3-4 @ 1.38% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 29.61%

Head to Head

Premier League 2 - Div 1
Sep 2, 2023 1.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT Newcastle United Football Academy
  • goal Emilio Lawrence 17'
  • yellowcard Michael Okeke 66'
  • yellowcard Max Alleyne 71'
  • goal Michael Okeke 74'
  • goal Will Dickson 81'
  • goal Will Dickson 90'+3'