Premier League 2 - Div 1
Apr 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
Etihad Stadium

Man City U21s
4 - 0
Newcastle U21s

Heffernan (6' og.), Oboavwoduo (15'), Mubama (29', 56')
Okeke (74'), Heskey (82')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Finneran (35')
Coverage of the Premier League 2 - Div 1 clash between Manchester City Under-21s and Newcastle United Under-21s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Manchester City Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Fulham U21s 1-1 Man City U21s
Monday, April 7 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Newcastle United Under-21s

All competitions
Last Game: Newcastle U21s 7-1 Reading U21s
Monday, April 7 at 7pm in Premier League 2 - Div 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Newcastle United Under-21s had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.18%) and 3-2 (5.4%). The likeliest Newcastle United Under-21s win was 1-2 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Manchester City Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
50.46% (0.406 0.41)19.92% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)29.61% (-0.352 -0.35)
Both teams to score 74.27% (-0.060999999999993 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
76.83% (0.015000000000001 0.02)23.17% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
57.51% (0.018000000000001 0.02)42.49% (-0.012 -0.01)
Manchester City Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.94% (0.11200000000001 0.11)10.06% (-0.107 -0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.83% (0.247 0.25)33.17% (-0.241 -0.24)
Newcastle United Under-21s Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.59% (-0.164 -0.16)17.41% (0.17 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.15% (-0.293 -0.29)47.85% (0.3 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Manchester City Under-21s 50.46%
    Newcastle United Under-21s 29.61%
    Draw 19.92%
Manchester City Under-21sDrawNewcastle United Under-21s
2-1 @ 8.08% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.18% (0.045 0.04)
3-2 @ 5.4% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.62% (0.039 0.04)
1-0 @ 4.02% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.042 0.04)
3-0 @ 3.54% (0.045 0.04)
4-2 @ 3.1% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.035 0.03)
4-3 @ 1.81% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.63% (0.027 0.03)
5-2 @ 1.42% (0.015 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 4.15%
Total : 50.46%
2-2 @ 7.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-1 @ 7.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-3 @ 3.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 19.92%
1-2 @ 6.15% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-3 @ 4.11% (-0.034 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.58% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-1 @ 3.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-2 @ 2.68% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-4 @ 1.8% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-4 @ 1.38% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.74%
Total : 29.61%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 1pm
Newcastle U21s
0-4
Man City U21s
Lawrence (17'), Okeke (74'), Dickson (81', 90+3')
Okeke (66'), Alleyne (71')