Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 42.42%. A win for Crystal Palace Under-21s had a probability of 36.38% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 with a probability of 7.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.25%) and 3-2 (4.8%). The likeliest Crystal Palace Under-21s win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.