Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea Under-21s win with a probability of 50.02%. A win for Manchester City Under-21s had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.17%) and 2-3 (5.21%). The likeliest Manchester City Under-21s win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.