Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 53.41%. A win for Blackburn Rovers Under-21s had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.55%) and 2-3 (5.3%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.

Result
Blackburn Rovers Under-21s	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
26.77% ( 0.17)	19.81% ( 0.29)	53.41% ( -0.47)

Both teams to score 72.24% (

-0.98)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

75.17% (

-1.29)

24.82% (

1.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

55.31% (

-1.71)

44.68% (

1.71)

Blackburn Rovers Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.17% (

-0.61)

19.83% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.08% (

-1)

51.91% (

0.99)

Manchester City Under-21s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

90.11% (

-0.54)

9.89% (

0.54)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

67.23% (

-1.26)

32.76% (

1.25)

Score Analysis

Blackburn Rovers Under-21s 26.77%

Manchester City Under-21s 53.41%

Draw 19.81%

Blackburn Rovers Under-21s	Draw	Manchester City Under-21s
2-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.71% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.12) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.38% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) 4-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.85% Total : 26.77%	1-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 1.96% ( 0.16) Other @ 0.78% Total : 19.81%	1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 6.55% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 5.3% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.28) 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 3.79% ( -0.11) 2-4 @ 3.07% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.75% ( -0.09) 3-4 @ 1.65% ( -0.11) 2-5 @ 1.42% ( -0.1) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.13% Total : 53.41%