Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City Under-21s win with a probability of 53.41%. A win for Blackburn Rovers Under-21s had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 19.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.55%) and 2-3 (5.3%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester City Under-21s would win this match.