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Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 30
Apr 30, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Famalicao logo

Porto
3 - 2
Famalicao

Martinez (8'), Taremi (61' pen.), Grujic (75')
Grujic (31')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Rodrigues (44'), Silva (90+1')
Queiros (56'), Figueiras (61'), Assuncao (73')

Preview: Porto vs. Famalicao - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Famalicao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Porto will be looking to keep their Primeira Liga title hopes alive when they host Famalicao on Friday evening.

The hosts have not lost any of their last 23 league matches, while the visitors are unbeaten in their previous three away games, scoring eight goals in the process.


Match preview

Porto coach Sergio Conceicao pictured on April 7, 2021© Reuters

Porto's impressive run of seven consecutive league wins was ended last weekend as they could only draw 1-1 away at Moreirense.

Sergio Conceicao's side were behind until the 86th minute when Mehdi Taremi's penalty cancelled out Nahuel Ferraresi's first-half opener, rescuing a point for the visitors.

Porto's hopes of retaining the Primeira Liga title are still in sight, although they are six points behind league leaders Sporting Lisbon, with only five matches remaining.

The Dragons cannot afford to drop any more points this campaign and with a crucial match against Benfica on the horizon, securing all three points on Friday is essential if they are to stay in the title race.

Porto cruised to a 4-1 victory over Famalicao in January, and another win against them would see Conceicao's men move to within three points of Sporting, although they would have played a game more than their rivals.

Famalicao players celebrate after scoring against Porto on June 3, 2020© Reuters

Famalicao claimed their 10th Primeira Liga draw of the season on Monday night when they drew 2-2 at home to Tondela.

The hosts scored twice before the half-hour mark thanks to strikes from Ivo Rodrigues and Leonardo Campana, however they were unable to hold onto their two-goal cushion, conceding twice in first-half stoppage time.

An entertaining first 45 eventually fizzled out in the second half to see both sides claim a point each, leaving Famalicao five points above the relegation zone.

Head coach Ivo Vieira will still feel that there is work to be done if they are to secure a third successive campaign in the Portuguese top-flight, although a positive result on Friday is not expected against one of the league's biggest clubs.

However, Famalicao – who have already drawn twice with Sporting this campaign and also beat Porto 2-1 in June last year – should not be underestimated and they will be keen to boost their hopes of survival with a win at the Estadio do Dragao.

Porto Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Porto form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Famalicao Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D


Team News

Porto's Antonio Martinez celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in January 2021© Reuters

Porto's only injury concern remains backup goalkeeper Mouhamed Mbaye, who is still unavailable for selection with a knee injury.

Conceicao could name the same starting lineup for the third successive game, which would see Jesus Corona and Otavio operating on the flanks.

Strikers Taremi and Moussa Marega have scored 19 league goals between them so far this season and are expected to continue as the front two.

Meanwhile, Famalicao have no injury or suspension concerns and could also name the same first XI on Friday.

Wolverhampton Wanderers loanees Campana and Ruben Vinagre are both expected to keep their places up front and at left-back respectively, while Pepe and Ivan Jaime are set to partner each other in central midfield.

Porto possible starting lineup:
Marchesin; Nanu, Mbemba, Pepe, Manafa; Corona, Oliveira, Uribe, Otavio; Marega, Taremi

Famalicao possible starting lineup:
Junior; Figueiras, Riccieli, Patrick, Vinagre; Assuncao; Rodrigues, Pepe, Jaime, Diaz; Campana


SM words green background

We say: Porto 1-0 Famalicao

Famalicao have the quality in their ranks to compete with Porto on Friday, and they could make it a difficult evening for the hosts. However, we expect Conceicao's men to come out on top and secure a narrow victory at the Estadio do Dragao.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:445156:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9014:
Written by
Oliver Thomas

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 64.51%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.49%) and 2-1 (9.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.03%), while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Porto vs Famalicao

Porto
82.0%
Draw
16.0%
Famalicao
2.0%
50
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Porto coach Sergio Conceicao pictured on April 7, 2021
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Today's games header
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@
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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