Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 9
Sep 19, 2026 7.15pm
Arena Lublin

Motor Lublin vs Gornik Zabrze - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Motor Lublin

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 11, 2026 5.00pm
Rakow 2 - 1 Motor Lublin
Goals scored
9
Top scorer
Karol Czubak

Gornik Zabrze

All competitions
Polish Ekstraklasa
Last game
Sep 15, 2026 7.30pm
Korona Kielce 0 - 2 Gornik
Goals scored
16
Top scorer
Peter Federico

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Gornik Zabrze win with a probability of 40.29%. A win for Motor Lublin has a probability of 32.02% and a draw has a probability of 27.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gornik Zabrze win is 0-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Motor Lublin win is 1-0 (9.04%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.96%).

Result

Motor Lublin 32.02% (-1.33)
Draw 27.69% (+0.16)
Gornik Zabrze 40.29% (+1.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.79% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.05% (+0.54)
Under 1.5 26.95% (-0.54)
Over 2.5 47.86% (+0.93)
Under 2.5 52.14% (-0.93)
Over 3.5 25.6% (-0.60)
Under 3.5 74.4% (+0.61)
Over 4.5 13.61% (-0.33)
Under 4.5 86.39% (+0.33)

First Half Winner

Motor Lublin 25.39% (-1.24)
Draw 44.1% (+0.72)
Gornik Zabrze 30.52% (+0.54)

Team To Score First

Motor Lublin 44.36% (-0.62)
No Goal 8.21% (-0.02)
Gornik Zabrze 47.43% (+0.65)

Corners

Over 8 53.03% (+2.26)
Equal 8 12.18% (+0.11)
Under 8 34.79% (-2.37)
Over 9 41.06% (+1.95)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.32)
Under 9 46.97% (-2.26)
Over 10.5 30.31% (+1.50)
Under 10.5 69.69% (-1.50)

Motor Lublin Goals

Over 1.5 32.09% (-0.77)
Under 1.5 67.91% (+0.77)
Over 2.5 11.3% (-0.37)
Under 2.5 88.7% (+0.38)
Over 3.5 3.31% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 96.69% (+0.35)

Gornik Zabrze Goals

Over 0.5 72.1% (+1.18)
Under 0.5 27.9% (-1.18)
Over 1.5 39.12% (+1.17)
Under 1.5 60.88% (-1.17)
Over 2.5 15.54% (+0.71)
Under 2.5 84.46% (-0.72)
Over 3.5 4.81% (+0.23)
Under 3.5 95.19% (-0.24)

Score analysis

Motor Lublin 32.03%
Draw 27.68%
Gornik Zabrze 40.3%
Motor Lublin
1-0 @ 9.04% (-0.52)
2-1 @ 7.54% (+0.13)
2-0 @ 5.21% (-0.45)
3-1 @ 2.77% (-0.21)
3-0 @ 2.23% (+0.25)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.13)
Other @ 3.22% (-0.41)
Total : 32.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.96% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 8.21% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.45% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09% (+0.06)
Total : 27.68%
Gornik Zabrze
0-1 @ 9.71% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.1% (+0.61)
0-2 @ 7.01% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.76% (-0.08)
0-3 @ 3.41% (+0.57)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.09)
Other @ 4.72% (+0.17)
Total : 40.3%

Head to Head

Polish Ekstraklasa
Mar 8, 2026 11.15am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Arena Lublin
  • Thomas Santos 62' yellowcard
  • Bradly van Hoeven 62' yellowcard
  • Renat Dadashov 73' yellowcard
  • Paskal Meyer 73' yellowcard
  • Jakub Labojko 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maksym Khlan 56'
  • yellowcard Michal Sacek 56'
  • yellowcard Lukas Sadilek 56'
  • yellowcard Borislav Rupanov 73'
  • yellowcard Bastien Donio 90'
  • yellowcard Bastien Donio 90'+1'
Polish Ekstraklasa
Aug 30, 2025 7.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 25
Mar 15, 2025 4.30pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Zabrze
  • Taofeek Ismaheel 16' yellowcard
  • Rafal Janicki 17' yellowcard
  • Lukas Podolski 25' goal
  • Matus Kmet 50' goal
  • Patrik Hellebrand 53' goal
  • Ousmane Sow 64' goal
  • Kryspin Szczesniak 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Marek Bartos 39'
Polish Ekstraklasa Gameweek 8
Sep 13, 2024 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Slavutych-Arena
  • Mateusz Stolarski 22' yellowcard
  • Mbaye Jacques Ndiaye 43' yellowcard
  • Christopher Serge Simon 49' goal
  • yellowcard Norbert Wojtuszek 21'
  • yellowcard Lukas Ambros 84'