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Philadelphia Union
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 4
May 2, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Subaru Park
New York City

Philadelphia
0 - 2
NY City

FT(HT: 0-1)
Medina (5'), Castellanos (65')
Morales (18'), Ibeagha (25'), Moralez (45+2')

Preview: Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Philadelphia Union and New York City FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Philadelphia Union will look to record their first victory of the Major League Soccer campaign on Sunday, when they welcome New York City FC to Subaru Park.

Despite a slow start to the domestic season, the hosts come into this game on the back of a dominant 3-0 win over Atlanta United in the first leg of their CONCACAF Champions League quarter-final tie.


Match preview

Philadelphia Union head coach Jim Curtin pictured in September 2020© Reuters

Philadelphia Union will come into this game full of confidence following an impressive win in the CONCACAF Champions League quarter-final last time out.

The U travelled to take on Atlanta United in the first leg in Georgia, and despite long periods of dominance from the home side, Jim Curtin's side came away with a 3-0 lead going into the second leg thanks to a Kacper Przybylko brace and a late Anthony Fontana goal.

Their focus will now turn back to the MLS, as they look to put their first win on the board following a goalless draw and a defeat to start the campaign.

Curtin's men fell to a narrow defeat in their last league game against Inter Miami, as Jamiro Monteiro put them ahead early in the second half before late goals from Gonzalo Higuain and Federico Higuain saw the visitors snatch all three points.

They will aim to put themselves in the top seven on Sunday with their first win of the campaign, as they host New York City FC.

The visitors picked up an eye-catching victory last time out, as they defeated FC Cincinnati 5-0 at home.

A Jesus Medina brace alongside goals from Gudmundur Thorarinsson, Valentin Castellanos and a Nick Hagglund own goal saw the Boys in Blue secure their first league win of the season.

That was an impressive turnaround following their narrow opening defeat, as Castellanos's opening goal away at DC United was followed by goals from Brendan Hines-Ike and Russell Canouse for the hosts to take all three points.

Ronny Deila's men will now go in search of back-to-back victories to cement themselves at the top end of the Eastern Conference from the beginning of the MLS campaign.

Philadelphia Union Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • L

Philadelphia Union form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W

New York City FC Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • W



Team News

New York City head coach Ronny Deila reacts during the second half against the Chicago Fire at Red Bull Arena in August 2020© Reuters

Kacper Przybylko will lead the line for Philadelphia with confidence, having netted a brace in the cup win last time out.

He could again be joined by Cory Burke, with Jamiro Monteiro offering plenty of attacking threat from midfield.

At the other end of the pitch, Jack Elliott and Jakob Glesnes will partner up at the back, having kept two clean sheets in the last three games.

Ronny Deila could look to keep his side unchanged from the team that comfortably beat Cincinnati last time out, following a particularly impressive performance by the Pigeons.

Their line will be led by Valentin Castellanos, who has netted in each of their first two MLS games this campaign.

Jesus Medina will also offer plenty of threat from the wide areas, having netted a brace in the win over Cincinnati.

Philadelphia Union possible starting lineup:
Blake; Mbaizo, Glesnes, Blake, Wagner; Bedoya, Martinez, Flach; Monteiro; Przybylko, Burke

New York City FC possible starting lineup:
Jonson; Tinnerholm, Chanot, Callens, Thorarinsson; Sands, Parks; Medina, Moralez, Jasson; Castellanos


SM words green background

We say: Philadelphia Union 1-1 New York City FC

We see these sides coming into this game on a fairly level playing field, and both with plenty of confidence following big victories last time out.

On this occasion, we see them cancelling each other out and each side settling for a point in a cagey game at Subaru Park.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Philadelphia Union win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Philadelphia Union win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.


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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113


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