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Paraguay national football team
World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Sep 9, 2021 at 11.30pm UK
 
Venezuela national football team

Paraguay
2 - 1
Venezuela

Martinez (7'), Romero (46')
Alonso (21'), Balbuena (49')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Chancellor (90')
Gonzalez (54')

Preview: Paraguay vs. Venezuela - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's World Cup Qualifying - South America clash between Paraguay and Venezuela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Paraguay square off against Venezuela on Thursday evening looking to keep the pressure on the top five in the CONMEBOL World Cup qualifying table.

While the visitors head into this contest sitting at the bottom of the standings, victory in Asuncion will move them to within one point of their sixth-placed hosts.


Match preview

Paraguay manager Eduardo Berizzo during the match on June 3, 2021© Reuters

Away from the drama involving Brazil and Argentina, a multitude of nations went into the weekend's fixtures simply looking to stay in contention.

Paraguay and Venezuela were among those sides, the former registering a 1-1 draw with Colombia after initially taking the lead late in the first half.

Despite failing to claim all three points, Eduardo Berizzo would have been relatively content with avoiding a defeat which would have left Paraguay four points adrift of a playoff spot.

However, Berizzo cannot ignore that his side remain with just one win from their opening eight fixtures, that sole success coming away at their next opponents.

With the visit of Argentina to come next and a trip to Brazil scheduled for early next year, Los Guaranies will feel that they must take advantage of fixtures like the one on Wednesday night.

Venezuela team huddle before the match on June 13, 2021© Reuters

Venezuela's winless streak stretches all the way back to November when a late Salomon Rondon goal secured a 2-1 victory over Chile.

That is their solitary win in 12 attempts in all competitions, while a three-match losing streak has lasted since the end of their Copa America campaign.

Recently-appointed head coach Leonardo Gonzalez is currently working on an interim basis, aware that a job could open up for him if he can end the nation's barren spell.

Venezuela lost out by a 1-0 scoreline to Peru at the weekend, their efforts not helped by the first-half dismissal of Tomas Rincon.

Paraguay World Cup Qualifying - South America form:
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

Paraguay form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • D

Venezuela World Cup Qualifying - South America form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L

Venezuela form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Paraguay team huddle before the match on June 29, 2021© Reuters

Having had an extra day to prepare for this contest, Berizzo could select the same Paraguay players which performed well against Colombia.

Angel Cardozo may be brought into the side to replace Gaston Gimenez, while Hernan Perez is an alternative in the final third.

Former West Ham United defender Fabian Balbuena, now of Dynamo Moscow, could remain among the replacements.

Jose Martinez is expected to earn a recall to the Venezuela XI as a result of Rincon serving a ban.

Gonzalez will also give consideration to replacing Mikel Villanueva with Jhon Chancellor in the middle of the defence.

Paraguay possible starting lineup:
Silva; Rojas, Gomez, Alderete, Arzamendia; Villasanti, Gimenez, Morel; Romero, Sanabria, Gamarra

Venezuela possible starting lineup:
Farinez; Hernandez, Ferraresi, Chancellor, Gonzalez; Martinez, Moreno; Savarino, Soteldo, Murillo; Ramirez


SM words green background

We say: Paraguay 2-1 Venezuela

If the reverse fixture is anything to go by, this game could be decided by the smallest of margins.

While we fancy Venezuela to remain competitive throughout, we cannot back against Paraguay as they look to respond to dropping points at the weekend.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 49.27%. A win for Venezuela had a probability of 25.76% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.46%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Venezuela win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paraguay would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Paraguay vs Venezuela

Paraguay
74.2%
Draw
17.4%
Venezuela
8.3%
132
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Venezuela's Josef Martínez celebrates scoring their first goal with Romulo Otero and Jefferson Savarino later disallowed after a VAR review on June 8, 2021
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