Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 75.5%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Israel Under-23s had a probability of 9.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.31%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Israel Under-23s win it was 2-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Under-23s would win this match.