Olympic Games Men's Football
Jul 30, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Ido Shahar 16' yellowcard
  • Ilay Feingold 71' yellowcard
  • goal Mao Hosoya 90'+1'

Israel Under-23s vs Japan Under-23s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Israel Under-23s

All competitions
Olympic Games Men's Football
Last game
Jul 27, 2024 6.00pm
Israel U23s 2 - 4 Paraguay U23s

Japan Under-23s

All competitions
Olympic Games Men's Football
Last game
Jul 27, 2024 8.00pm
Japan U23s 1 - 0 Mali Under-23s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 75.5%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Israel Under-23s had a probability of 9.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.31%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Israel Under-23s win it was 2-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Under-23s would win this match.

Result

Israel Under-23s 9.69% (-0.06)
Draw 14.8% (+0.02)
Japan Under-23s 75.5% (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.45% (-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5 68.01% (-0.27)
Under 2.5 31.99% (+0.27)
Over 3.5 46.45% (-0.32)
Under 3.5 53.55% (+0.32)
Over 4.5 27.55% (-0.28)
Under 4.5 72.45% (+0.28)

Israel Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 57.52% (-0.30)
Under 0.5 42.48% (+0.30)
Over 1.5 21.15% (-0.26)
Under 1.5 78.85% (+0.26)

Japan Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 92.93% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 7.07% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 74.2% (-0.14)
Under 1.5 25.8% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Israel Under-23s 9.69%
Draw 14.8%
Japan Under-23s 75.5%
Israel Under-23s
2-1 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 2.57% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 1.1% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 1.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 2%
Total : 9.69%
Draw
1-1 @ 6.81% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.86% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3% (+0.05)
Other @ 1.13%
Total : 14.8%
Japan Under-23s
0-2 @ 10.54% (+0.10)
0-3 @ 9.31% (+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.02% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 7.97% (-0.02)
0-1 @ 7.96% (+0.10)
0-4 @ 6.17% (+0.02)
1-4 @ 5.28% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.04)
0-5 @ 3.27% (+0.01)
1-5 @ 2.8% (-0.03)
2-4 @ 2.26% (-0.04)
0-6 @ 1.44% (-0.01)
1-6 @ 1.24% (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 75.5%