Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 75.5%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Israel Under-23s had a probability of 9.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (9.31%) and 1-2 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Israel Under-23s win it was 2-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Japan Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Israel Under-23s	Draw	Japan Under-23s
9.69% ( -0.05)	14.8% ( 0.02)	75.5% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 53.45% (

-0.31)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

68.01% (

-0.27)

31.99% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

46.45% (

-0.31)

53.55% (

0.32)

Israel Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.52% (

-0.29)

42.48% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.15% (

-0.25)

78.85% (

0.26)

Japan Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.93% (

-0.05)

7.07% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

74.2% (

-0.14)

25.8% (

0.14)

Score Analysis

Israel Under-23s 9.69%

Japan Under-23s 75.5%

Draw 14.8%

Israel Under-23s	Draw	Japan Under-23s
2-1 @ 2.92% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2% Total : 9.69%	1-1 @ 6.81% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 3% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.15% Total : 14.8%	0-2 @ 10.54% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 9.31% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.97% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 5.28% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.04) 0-5 @ 3.27% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.8% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 0-6 @ 1.44% ( -0) 1-6 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.65% Total : 75.5%