Olympic Games Men's Football
Jul 27, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Matmut-Atlantique
  • Joel Chima Fujita 28' yellowcard
  • Ryuya Nishio 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Rihito Yamamoto 82' goal
  • yellowcard Abdou Salam Ag Jiddou 56'

Japan Under-23s vs Mali Under-23s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Japan Under-23s

All competitions
Olympic Games Men's Football
Last game
Jul 24, 2024 6.00pm
Japan U23s 5 - 0 Paraguay U23s

Mali Under-23s

All competitions
Olympic Games Men's Football
Last game
Jul 24, 2024 8.00pm
Mali Under-23s 1 - 1 Israel U23s

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 57.33%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Mali Under-23s had a probability of 18.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.24%), while for a Mali Under-23s win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Japan Under-23s in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Japan Under-23s.

Result

Japan Under-23s 57.33% (-7.48)
Draw 23.72% (+2.06)
Mali Under-23s 18.95% (+5.42)

Both Teams to Score: 

47.86% (+5.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 48% (+0.82)
Under 2.5 52% (-0.82)
Over 3.5 26.26% (+0.71)
Under 3.5 73.74% (-0.71)
Over 4.5 12.17% (+0.46)
Under 4.5 87.83% (-0.46)

Japan Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 82.07% (-2.30)
Under 0.5 17.93% (+2.30)
Over 1.5 51.25% (-4.11)
Under 1.5 48.75% (+4.11)

Mali Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5 58.32% (+7.70)
Under 0.5 41.68% (-7.70)
Over 1.5 21.84% (+6.07)
Under 1.5 78.16% (-6.07)

Score analysis

Japan Under-23s 57.32%
Draw 23.72%
Mali Under-23s 18.95%
Japan Under-23s
1-0 @ 12.84% (-1.49)
2-0 @ 11.03% (-2.26)
2-1 @ 9.66% (+0.28)
3-0 @ 6.32% (-1.90)
3-1 @ 5.53% (-0.27)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-1.10)
3-2 @ 2.42% (+0.38)
4-1 @ 2.38% (-0.32)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-93.96)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 57.32%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% (+1.15)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.25)
2-2 @ 4.23% (+0.92)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 23.72%
Mali Under-23s
0-1 @ 6.54% (+1.10)
1-2 @ 4.92% (+1.36)
0-2 @ 2.86% (+0.95)
1-3 @ 1.44% (-82.47)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-76.57)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 18.95%