Olympic Games Men's Football
-
Shunsuke Mito
19'
-
Kota Takai
50'
-
Hiroki Sekine
58'
-
Shunsuke Mito
63'
-
Rihito Yamamoto
70'
-
Shota Fujio
82'
-
Shota Fujio
87'
-
Marcelo Fabian Fernandez Benitez
8'
-
Wilder Viera
25'
-
Ronaldo De Jesus
80'
-
Enso Gonzalez
90'+6'
Japan Under-23s vs Paraguay Under-23s - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F29%2Fjulio-enciso.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan Under-23s win with a probability of 80.72%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Paraguay Under-23s had a probability of 6.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan Under-23s win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.9%) and 1-0 (10.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.2%), while for a Paraguay Under-23s win it was 0-1 (2.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Japan Under-23s would win this match.
Result
Japan Under-23s
80.72%
▼
(-5.96)
Draw
13.03%
▲
(+3.54)
Paraguay Under-23s
6.25%
▲
(+2.43)
Both Teams to Score:
42.46%
▲
(+3.16)
Goals
Over 2.5
63.31%
▼
(-6.11)
Under 2.5
36.69%
▲
(+6.11)
Over 3.5
41.15%
▼
(-6.96)
Under 3.5
58.85%
▲
(+6.96)
Over 4.5
23.07%
▼
(-5.95)
Under 4.5
76.93%
▲
(+5.96)
Japan Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5
92.95%
▼
(-2.31)
Under 0.5
7.05%
▲
(+2.32)
Over 1.5
74.26%
▼
(-6.57)
Under 1.5
25.74%
▲
(+6.57)
Paraguay Under-23s Goals
Over 0.5
45.68%
▲
(+4.42)
Under 0.5
54.32%
▼
(-4.42)
Over 1.5
12.53%
▲
(+2.53)
Under 1.5
87.47%
▼
(-2.52)
Score analysis
Japan Under-23s
80.71%
Draw
13.03%
Paraguay Under-23s
6.25%
Japan Under-23s
2-0
@
13.46%
▲
(+0.54)
3-0 @ 11.9% ▼ (-1.25)
1-0 @ 10.15% ▲ (+1.67)
2-1 @ 8.22% ▲ (+1.34)
4-0 @ 7.9% ▼ (-2.14)
3-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.27)
4-1 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.52)
5-0 @ 4.19% ▼ (-1.93)
5-1 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.70)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.36)
6-0 @ 1.85% ▼ (-1.26)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.06)
6-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.53)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 80.71%
3-0 @ 11.9% ▼ (-1.25)
1-0 @ 10.15% ▲ (+1.67)
2-1 @ 8.22% ▲ (+1.34)
4-0 @ 7.9% ▼ (-2.14)
3-1 @ 7.27% ▲ (+0.27)
4-1 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.52)
5-0 @ 4.19% ▼ (-1.93)
5-1 @ 2.56% ▼ (-0.70)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▲ (+0.36)
6-0 @ 1.85% ▼ (-1.26)
4-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.06)
6-1 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.53)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 80.71%
Draw
1-1
@
6.2%
▲
(+1.69)
0-0 @ 3.83% ▲ (+1.05)
2-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.68)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 13.03%
0-0 @ 3.83% ▲ (+1.05)
2-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.68)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 13.03%
Paraguay Under-23s
0-1
@
2.34%
▲
(+0.86)
1-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.69)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 6.25%
1-2 @ 1.89% ▲ (+0.69)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 6.25%