Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay Under-23s win with a probability of 54.7%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Israel Under-23s had a probability of 22.63%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay Under-23s win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for a Israel Under-23s win it was 2-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paraguay Under-23s would win this match.

Result
Israel Under-23s	Draw	Paraguay Under-23s
22.63% ( 8.73)	22.67% ( 3.97)	54.7% ( -12.69)

Both teams to score 56.63% (

3.56)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.94% (

-3.6)

43.06% (

3.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.54% (

-3.65)

65.46% (

3.66)

Israel Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14% (

7.66)

32.86% (

-7.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

7.7)

69.43% (

-7.7)

Paraguay Under-23s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.34% (

-4.87)

15.66% (

4.87)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.31% (

-9.89)

44.69% (

9.89)

Score Analysis

Israel Under-23s 22.63%

Paraguay Under-23s 54.7%

Draw 22.66%

Israel Under-23s	Draw	Paraguay Under-23s
2-1 @ 5.91% ( 1.94) 1-0 @ 5.73% ( 1.78) 2-0 @ 3.19% ( 1.4) 3-1 @ 2.19% ( 1) 3-2 @ 2.03% ( 0.7) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.65) Other @ 2.4% Total : 22.63%	1-1 @ 10.61% ( 1.82) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 1.06) 0-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.78) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.66%	1-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.19) 0-2 @ 8.84% ( -1.99) 1-3 @ 6.08% ( -1.18) 0-3 @ 5.47% ( -2.58) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 2.82% ( -1.23) 0-4 @ 2.53% ( -1.95) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0.26) 1-5 @ 1.05% ( -0.76) 0-5 @ 0.94% ( -1.06) Other @ 2.63% Total : 54.7%