Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Germany Women win with a probability of 50.26%. A win for Zambia Women had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Germany Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.57%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Zambia Women win was 2-1 (6.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Germany Women would win this match.