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Norwich logo
Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 29, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Carrow Road
QPR logo

Norwich
1 - 1
QPR

Pukki (74' pen.)
Zimmermann (84'), McLean (87'), Skipp (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Osayi-Samuel (84' pen.)
Kane (22'), Ball (73'), Dickie (76'), Carroll (89'), Osayi-Samuel (90+1'), Bonne (90+4')

Preview: Norwich City vs. Queens Park Rangers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Norwich City and Queens Park Rangers will both be aiming to recover from Boxing Day defeats when they meet in the Championship on Tuesday.

The table-topping Canaries were beaten 1-0 by Watford, while struggling Rangers lost 2-0 to Swansea City.


Match preview

Teemu Pukki celebrates with teammates after scoring for Norwich City against Blackburn Rovers in the Championship on December 12, 2020© Reuters

Despite dominating possession and having more than double the amount of shots as Watford, Norwich still fell to defeat at Vicarage Road in Xisco Munoz's first game in charge of the Hornets.

It brought to an end the Canaries' five-game winning run, but they are still four points clear at the top of the Championship table.

They now have three successive home fixtures to look forward to, having not lost at Carrow Road since the beginning of October.

Despite their status as league leaders, Daniel Farke may be keen to work on his side's defensive record, as they have kept just one clean sheet in their last nine matches.

Queens Park Rangers manager Mark Warburton pictured in September 2020© Reuters

That could give hope to a QPR side who have struggled for confidence in front of goal of late, netting just once in their last four matches.

Mark Warburton was left ruing missed chances by Macauley Bonne and Dominic Ball as his side were beaten at home by Swansea on Boxing Day.

It is now eight games without a win for Rangers, who sit just four points above the Championship relegation zone in 19th position.

They have won only once away from home so far this season, and that was at struggling Derby County at the start of November.

QPR have not won at Carrow Road since September 2008, and lost 4-0 on their last visit to Norfolk 20 months ago. The Norwich scorers that day – Emiliano Buendia, Marco Stiepermann and Teemu Pukki – are all still at the club.

Norwich City Championship form: WWWWWL

Queens Park Rangers Championship form: LDLDDL


Team News

Norwich City boss Daniel Farke on February 1, 2020© Reuters

Boxing Day saw a first start for Kieran Dowell following his ankle injury, but Daniel Farke may drop the midfielder to the bench as he seeks to ease him back into first team affairs after nearly three months out.

Mario Vrancic would appear the most likely candidate to replace Dowell, while there could also be a recall in the centre of defence for Ben Gibson.

Lukas Rupp returned from a hamstring injury as a substitute in the closing stages at Vicarage Road, but may be used from the bench again for now.

Mark Warburton could bring Bright Osayi-Samuel and Albert Adomah back into the QPR starting 11 as he aims to increase his side's attacking output.

Luke Amos, Charlie Owens, Lee Wallace and Osman Kakay all remain sidelined for the West London outfit.

Norwich City possible starting lineup:
McGovern; Aarons, Hanley, Gibson, Sorensen; McLean, Skipp; Buendia, Vrancic, Cantwell; Pukki

Queens Park Rangers possible starting lineup:
Dieng; Kane, Dickie, Barbet, Hamalainen; Cameron, Ball; Adomah, Chair, Osayi-Samuel; Dykes


SM words green background

We say: Norwich City 2-0 Queens Park Rangers

Norwich will be eager to return to form quickly after defeat on Boxing Day, and hosting a severely out-of-form QPR side may be the ideal fixture for them. Victory should come fairly comfortably for the Canaries, increasing the pressure on Mark Warburton.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 24.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.35%) and 2-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (7.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.


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Ismaila Sarr celebrates scoring for Watford against Norwich City in the Championship on December 26, 2020
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3Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
4Southampton43259985562984
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City431812136254866
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Millwall441411194355-1253
17Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
18Queens Park RangersQPR441311204157-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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