Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 47.1%. A win for Go Ahead Eagles had a probability of 27.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.38%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest Go Ahead Eagles win was 0-1 (6.95%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.