EFL Cup | Quarterfinals

Dec 17, 2025 at 8.15pm UK

Newcastle Newcastle United
2-1
Fulham

Wissa (10'), Miley (90+2')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lukic (16')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Fulham
Wednesday, December 17 at 8.15pm in EFL Cup

Next Game: Newcastle vs. Chelsea
Saturday, December 20 at 12.30pm in Premier League

Fulham

Last Game: Newcastle 2-1 Fulham
Wednesday, December 17 at 8.15pm in EFL Cup

Next Game: Fulham vs. Nott'm Forest
Monday, December 22 at 8pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newcastle United win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Fulham had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newcastle United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Fulham win was 1-2 (7.23%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle United	Draw	Fulham
46.45% ( -1.25)	23.68% ( 0.22)	29.87% ( 1.03)

Both teams to score 60.13% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.42% (

-0.4)

41.58% (

0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.02% (

-0.41)

63.98% (

0.41)

Newcastle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.86% (

-0.64)

18.14% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.9% (

-1.11)

49.1% (

1.12)

Fulham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.45% (

0.48)

26.55% (

-0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.24% (

0.63)

61.76% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Newcastle United 46.45%

Fulham 29.87%

Draw 23.68%

Newcastle United	Draw	Fulham
2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 3.99% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.64% Total : 46.45%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.68%	1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.39% ( 0.2) 0-2 @ 4.24% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.05) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.87%