MX23RW : Friday, December 13 16:29:41| >> :600:648931:648931:
[monks data]
Netherlands national football team
Friendlies 1
Oct 7, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Mexico national football team

Netherlands
0 - 1
Mexico


Wijndal (58'), Stengs (78'), Veltman (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Jimenez (60' pen.)
Herrera (55'), dos Santos (68'), Araujo (90+5')

Preview: Netherlands vs. Mexico - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's international friendly between Netherlands and Mexico, including team news and predicted lineups.

Netherlands and Mexico get their October schedules underway on Wednesday evening with an international friendly at the Johan Cruyff Arena.

The game will represent Frank de Boer's first game in charge of the Netherlands after replacing Ronald Koeman, who left for Barcelona in the summer.


Match preview

Atlanta United head coach Frank de Boer pictured in October 2019© Reuters

When De Boer left Ajax in 2016, the legendary defender was expected to move on to have a fine career at one of the bigger clubs in Europe.

However, after failed spells at Inter Milan and Crystal Palace, it has taken a period at Atlanta United to convince the Dutch football association that the 50-year-old is the ideal replacement for Koeman.

The majority of Dutch supporters will tend to agree, pointing to the level of respect that De Boer commands in his homeland, but he is aware that he has something to prove on the big stage over the coming years.

Being handed trips to Bosnia-Herzegovina and Italy in his opening two competitive matches is far from ideal, although the meeting with Mexico should give De Boer a chance to look at his players.

With three games to come in the space of a week, it would not be a surprise if opportunities were provided to some of the newcomers, including emerging AZ star Teun Koopmeiners.

As far as Mexico are concerned, they have travelled to Europe having started the month with a comfortable 3-0 victory over Guatemala.

The game took place without Gerardo Martino being able to call upon his European-based stars, but 10 new players will link up with the squad for the next two matches.

Like his opposite number, Martino will have to take the fitness level of certain players into consideration, aware that they have a packed schedule on both the domestic and international scene.

Nevertheless, this is an opportunity for Mexico to test themselves against world-class opposition for the first time in over a year, a chance which Martino will not want to waste.

Netherlands form (all competitions): WWDWWL

Mexico form (all competitions): WWWWWW


Team News

Virgil van Dijk celebrates scoring for Netherlands on November 19, 2018© Reuters

Having started three games for Liverpool over the past week, Netherlands captain Virgil van Dijk will almost certainly be rested for this contest.

Memphis Depay is expected to miss out after his activity on deadline day, while many of the other players who played abroad on Sunday are unlikely to start this contest.

As well as a debut being handed to Koopmeiners, AZ teammate Owen Wijndal could also start at left-back.

Martino will likely call on his big-hitters, which should see Edson Alvarez feature on his home ground at centre-back or in central midfield.

Raul Jimenez will almost certainly lead the line, with Jesus Corona and Diego Lainez occupying the wide positions in the absence of Hirving Lozano.

Netherlands possible starting lineup:
Cillessen; Veltman, Ake, Blind, Wijndal; Koopmeiners, De Roon; Bergwijn, Van de Beek, Babel; Malen

Mexico possible starting lineup:
Gonzalez; Rodriguez, Araujo, Moreno, Arteaga; Alvarez, Herrera; Corona, Pizarro, Lainez; Jimenez


SM words green background

We say: Netherlands 1-1 Mexico

With both nations having to take several factors into the equation, we expect a rather low-key affair in Amsterdam. Although both sets of players will want to impress, goalscoring chances may be few and far between.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 45.19%. A win for Mexico had a probability of 29.22% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.14%) and 2-0 (7.9%). The likeliest Mexico win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.


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Game History

Who will win Wednesday's international friendly between Netherlands and Mexico?

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Draw
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Mexico
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