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[monks data]
Netherlands national football team
European Championship | Round of 16
Jun 27, 2021 at 5pm UK
Puskás Aréna
Czech Republic national football team

Netherlands
0 - 2
Czech Republic


Dumfries (46'), de Jong (84')
de Ligt (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Holes (68'), Schick (80')
Coufal (56')

Preview: Netherlands vs. Czech Republic - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's European Championship clash between Netherlands and Czech Republic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

A Netherlands outfit arguably exceeding expectations under Frank de Boer prepare for battle in the last-16 stage of Euro 2020 as they take on the Czech Republic at the Puskas Arena on Sunday evening.

Oranje eased through Group C as winners to advance to the knockout stages, while the Czech Republic booked their spot in the elite 16 as one of the four best third-placed outfits.


Match preview

Netherlands' Georginio Wijnaldum celebrates scoring their second goal against North Macedonia at Euro 2020 on June 21, 2021© Reuters

There would be no fitting send off for North Macedonia talisman Goran Pandev - although he was given a guard of honour by his own teammates upon being substituted in the 67th minute - by which time the Netherlands had already struck three goals to cruise to a simple success.

Memphis Depay was unsurprisingly the one to break the deadlock on the day, and the soon-to-be Barcelona attacker turned provider for Georginio Wijnaldum to double the lead before the ex-Liverpool man added the cherry on the icing on the cake with his second and Oranje's third in the 58th minute.

The ruthless nature of the Netherlands has shone through at these Championships, with no other team in the group stage topping the eight goals that Oranje scored in their three group matches, and De Boer has witnessed his side score at least two goals in each of their last 10 matches in all competitions.

Having seemingly found the optimal formula for success with a new-look 3-4-1-2 setup, De Boer is slowly winning over his critics after some pre-tournament pessimism with regard to their chances, and another welcome fixture with Wales or Denmark awaits should the Netherlands progress as expected.

Not since Euro 2000 - when De Boer was an integral cog in the Oranje machine - have the Netherlands opened a European Championships campaign with four straight victories, but having dazzled and delighted so far, a first quarter-final appearance since 2008 is no less than their ardent supporters will accept.

Czech Republic manager Jaroslav Silhavy on June 14, 2021© Reuters

Following in the footsteps of Scotland and Croatia, Czech Republic became the third team to be thwarted by England's staunch defence at Wembley, as a first-half header from Raheem Sterling was all that separated the two sides during a low-key affair in the English capital.

Despite falling to their first and only defeat of the group stage at Wembley, the Czechs' victory over Scotland and dogged draw with Croatia was enough for them to advance as one of the best third-placed outfits, and they have been rewarded with a fixture of daunting proportions.

In doing so, Jaroslav Silhavy has already steered his side further than Pavel Vrba could during their ill-fated 2016 run - keeping with the theme of the Czech Republic bowing out at the group stage one year then progressing to the knockout rounds during the next cycle.

The Czech Republic have never been knocked out at the last-16 stage of the Euros as an independent nation, but if they are to break the cycle of going one worse than they did in previous knockout rounds (runners-up in 1996, semi-finalists in 2004 and quarter-finalists in 2012), Silhavy will need Patrik Schick and co to be firing on all cylinders at the Puskas Arena.

The Netherlands and the Czech Republic played out a pulsating five-goal thriller during the group stage of Euro 2004 - during which Milan Baros and Vladimir Smicer completed a remarkable Czech comeback in a 3-2 win - and Oranje also lost by the same scoreline to the Czechs in their most recent battle in October 2015.

Netherlands European Championship form:
  • W
  • W
  • W

Netherlands form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Czech Republic European Championship form:
  • W
  • D
  • L

Czech Republic form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Netherlands' Wout Weghorst celebrates scoring on June 6, 2021© Reuters

Netherlands forward Luuk de Jong will not feature again in the tournament after sustaining a knee injury, but having only played 10 minutes in the group stage, he will not be a big miss.

De Boer does have a dilemma up top in any case, though, as Wout Weghorst will hope to do enough to displace Liverpool-linked Donyell Malen alongside the indispensable Depay.

Weghorst's physical prowess and 6ft 5in frame may be preferred against the robust Czechs, while Marten de Roon should return to the XI after being rested against North Macedonia.

The Czech Republic, meanwhile, will be forced into a change at left-back after Jan Boril picked up his second booking of the tournament against England, so Brescia's Ales Mateju could deputise.

Silhavy should not make significant alterations to the XI despite their underwhelming showing at Wembley, with the only real uncertainty for the Czech coach being Tomas Soucek's midfield partner, as Alex Kral and Tomas Holes battle it out for that spot.

Schick sits level with four other players - including Wijnaldum - on three goals for the tournament so far, but he only recorded one shot on target over 180 minutes against Croatia and England.

Vladimir Darida has since emerged as a fresh doubt with an unspecified injury picked up in training, but he still has a chance of making the cut.

Netherlands possible starting lineup:
Stekelenburg; De Vrij, Blind, De Ligt; Dumfries, De Jong, De Roon, Van Aanholt; Wijnaldum; Depay, Weghorst

Czech Republic possible starting lineup:
Vaclik; Coufal, Celustka, Kalas, Mateju; Holes, Soucek; Masopust, Darida, Jankto; Schick


SM words green background

We say: Netherlands 2-0 Czech Republic

There would be no better time for the Czech Republic to record a third successive victory over the Netherlands, and they ought to be spurred on by the chance to emulate the 2004 luminaries.

However, De Boer's Oranje have quality in abundance in all areas of the pitch and firmly laid down a marker with their group-stage performances, so we can only back the Netherlands to safely advance to the last eight.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands win with a probability of 56.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Czech Republic had a probability of 21.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.16%), while for a Czech Republic win it was 1-2 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Netherlands vs Czech Republic

Netherlands
81.2%
Draw
11.9%
Czech Republic
6.9%
421
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Czech Republic players applaud the fans following the final Euro 2020 warm-up game on June 8, 2021
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Germany Germany00000
2 Hungary Hungary00000
3 Scotland flag Scotland00000
4 Switzerland Switzerland00000

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Albania national flag Albania00000
2 Croatia Croatia00000
3 Italy Italy00000
4 Spain Spain00000

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Denmark Denmark00000
2 England flag England00000
3 Serbia Serbia00000
4 Slovenia Slovenia00000

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Austria Austria00000
2 France France00000
3 Netherlands Netherlands00000
4 Poland Poland00000

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Belgium Belgium00000
2 Romania Romania00000
3 Slovakia Slovakia00000
4 Ukraine Ukraine00000

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Czech Republic Czech Republic00000
2 Georgia Georgia00000
3 Portugal Portugal00000
4 Turkey Turkey00000


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