UEFA Nations League

Nations League | Quarter-Finals | 2nd Leg

Mar 23, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Estadio Jose Alvalade

Portugal
5 - 2
Denmark

(Portugal win 5-3 on aggregate)

Andersen (38' og.), Ronaldo (72'), Trincao (86', 91'), Ramos (115')
Dias (50'), Jota (75')

FT
(aet)

Kristensen (56'), Eriksen (76')
Eriksen (50'), Norgaard (66'), Andersen (105+3'), Vestergaard (120+1')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions

Last Game: Denmark 1-0 Portugal
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A1 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Portugal	6	8	14
2	Croatia	6	0	8
3	Scotland	6	-1	7
4	Poland	6	-7	4

Denmark

All competitions

Last Game: Denmark 1-0 Portugal
Thursday, March 20 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League A4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Spain	6	9	16
2	Denmark	6	2	8
3	Serbia	6	-3	6
4	Switzerland	6	-8	2

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Denmark had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Denmark win it was 0-1 (5.03%).

Result
Portugal	Draw	Denmark
63% ( -0.01)	20.98% ( 0)	16.02% ( 0)

Both teams to score 50.62%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.64% (

-0)

45.36% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.3% (

-0)

67.69% (

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.23% (

-0)

13.77% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.93% (

-0.01)

41.07% (

0.01)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.7% (

41.29% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.18% (

77.81% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Portugal 62.99%

Denmark 16.02%

Draw 20.98%

Portugal	Draw	Denmark
1-0 @ 11.27% 2-0 @ 11.17% 2-1 @ 9.89% 3-0 @ 7.39% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.53% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.24% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.89% 5-0 @ 1.45% 4-2 @ 1.43% 5-1 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 62.99%	1-1 @ 9.97% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.69% 2-2 @ 4.37% ( 0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 20.98%	0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.3% 2-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.77% Total : 16.02%