Nations League
Mar 23, 2025 7.45pm
5
2
HT : 1 0
ET Estadio Jose Alvalade
  • Joachim Andersen 38' goal
  • Ruben Dias 50' yellowcard
  • Cristiano Ronaldo 72' goal
  • Diogo Jota 75' yellowcard
  • Francisco Trincao 86' goal
  • Francisco Trincao 91' goal
  • Goncalo Ramos 115' goal
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 50'
  • goal Rasmus Kristensen 56'
  • yellowcard Christian Norgaard 66'
  • goal Christian Eriksen 76'
  • yellowcard Joachim Andersen 105'+3'
  • yellowcard Jannik Vestergaard 120'+1'

Portugal vs Denmark - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
Denmark 1 - 0 Portugal

Denmark

All competitions
Nations League
Last game
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
Denmark 1 - 0 Portugal

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portugal win with a probability of 63%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Denmark had a probability of 16.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portugal win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.17%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.97%), while for a Denmark win it was 0-1 (5.03%).

Result

Portugal 63% (-0.01)
Draw 20.98% (+0.01)
Denmark 16.02% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.62%

Goals

Over 2.5 54.64% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 45.36% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 32.3% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 67.69% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 16.29% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.71% (+0.01)

Portugal Goals

Over 0.5 86.23% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 13.77% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 58.93% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 41.07% (+0.01)

Denmark Goals

Over 0.5 58.7% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 41.29% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 22.18% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 77.81% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Portugal 62.99%
Draw 20.98%
Denmark 16.02%
Portugal
1-0 @ 11.27%
2-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 9.89%
3-0 @ 7.39% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.53% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 3.66% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.24% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89%
5-0 @ 1.45%
4-2 @ 1.43%
5-1 @ 1.28% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 62.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.97% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.69%
2-2 @ 4.37% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 20.98%
Denmark
0-1 @ 5.03% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 4.41% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.22% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.3%
2-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 16.02%

Head to Head

Nations League
Mar 20, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parken
  • Rasmus Hojlund 78' goal
  • yellowcard Diogo Dalot 57'
  • yellowcard Vitinha 59'
European Championship
Oct 8, 2015 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Joao Moutinho 66' goal
  • Rui Patricio 82' yellowcard
  • Danilo 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pierre Hojbjerg 25'
  • yellowcard Christian Eriksen 43'
  • yellowcard Daniel Wass 68'
European Championship
Oct 14, 2014 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • yellowcard Cristiano Ronaldo 92'
  • goal Cristiano Ronaldo 95'
European Championship
Jun 13, 2012 5.00pm
2
3
HT : 0 0
FT

Build-up

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