Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.37%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.