National League | Gameweek 44

Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK

The Borough Sports Ground

Sutton
1 - 3
Barnet

Odelusi (34')
(53'), Sandat (89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Shelton (10', 53' pen.), Olowu (82')
Tavares (32'), Shelton (44'), Collinge (60'), Coker (67'), Browne (83')

Coverage of the National League clash between Sutton United and Barnet.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sutton United

All competitions

Last Game: Aldershot 1-1 Sutton
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League

Goals
for

Barnet

All competitions

Last Game: Barnet 1-1 Eastleigh
Friday, April 18 at 5.30pm in National League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 51.01%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 24.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.58%) and 0-2 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.7%), while for a Sutton United win it was 1-0 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.

Result
Sutton United	Draw	Barnet
24.37% ( 0.41)	24.62% ( 0.22)	51.01% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 52.38% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.33% (

-0.53)

49.66% (

0.53)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.31% (

-0.48)

71.68% (

0.48)

Sutton United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.05% (

0.07)

34.95% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.31% (

0.07)

71.69% (

-0.07)

Barnet Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.53% (

-0.45)

19.47% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.67% (

-0.75)

51.33% (

0.75)

Score Analysis

Sutton United 24.37%

Barnet 51.01%

Draw 24.61%

Sutton United	Draw	Barnet
1-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 6.15% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.16% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.32% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.07% Total : 24.37%	1-1 @ 11.7% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.61%	0-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 9.58% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 9.11% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 5.22% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 2.14% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.96% Total : 51.01%