Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Sutton United |
| 40.6% ( | 24.55% ( | 34.84% ( |
| Both teams to score 59.1% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.19% ( | 43.81% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.8% ( | 66.2% ( |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( | 21.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.28% ( | 54.72% ( |
| Sutton United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.39% ( | 24.6% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.89% ( | 59.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Sutton United |
| 2-1 @ 8.75% ( 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 2-0 @ 6.24% ( 3-1 @ 4.47% ( 3-0 @ 3.19% ( 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 4-1 @ 1.71% ( 4-0 @ 1.22% ( 4-2 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 40.6% | 1-1 @ 11.42% ( 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-0 @ 5.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.55% | 1-2 @ 8.01% ( 0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0-2 @ 5.23% ( 1-3 @ 3.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.87% ( 0-3 @ 2.44% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 2.78% Total : 34.84% |