Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 40.6%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.24%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.