National League South | Gameweek 43
Apr 12, 2025 at 3pm UK
The Meadow

Chesham
2 - 1
Farnborough

Weiss (18', 18'), Esan (66', 66')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Chin (4', 4')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chesham United and Farnborough Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesham United

All competitions
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Chesham
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League South

Farnborough Town

All competitions
Last Game: Tonbridge Angels 1-4 Farnborough
Saturday, April 5 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesham United win with a probability of 44.77%. A win for Farnborough Town had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (7.51%). The likeliest Farnborough Town win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesham United would win this match.

Result
Chesham UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
44.77% (0.026000000000003 0.03)25.1% (-0.004999999999999 -0)30.13% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.4% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.15% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)47.85% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.96% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)70.04% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Chesham United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.61% (0.01400000000001 0.01)21.39% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.62% (0.023000000000003 0.02)54.38% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Farnborough Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.47% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)29.53% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.46% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)65.54% (0.012999999999991 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chesham United 44.77%
    Farnborough Town 30.13%
    Draw 25.1%
Chesham UnitedDrawFarnborough Town
1-0 @ 9.74% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 7.51% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 3.86% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-1 @ 1.82% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 44.77%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.32% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.59%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.1%
0-1 @ 7.71% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 7.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.7% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.27%
0-3 @ 1.91% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 30.13%

Head to Head
Feb 4, 2025 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Farnborough
2-1
Chesham
Stuttle (45+5'), Pendlebury (57')
Grant (68')
rhs 2.0


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