National League South
Gameweek
45
-
Charlie Ruff
5'
-
Charlie Ruff
32'
-
Ruaridh Donaldson
55'
-
Freddie Hockey
80'
-
Archie Tamplin
84'
-
Joshua Redfearn
50'
Chelmsford City vs Welling United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
Result
Chelmsford City
53.3%
▼
(-0.66)
Draw
24.1%
▲
(+0.35)
Welling United
22.59%
▲
(+0.31)
Both Teams to Score:
51.95%
▼
(-0.69)
Goals
Over 2.5
50.75%
▼
(-1.11)
Under 2.5
49.24%
▲
(+1.10)
Over 3.5
28.69%
▼
(-1.01)
Under 3.5
71.3%
▲
(+1.00)
Over 4.5
13.77%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 4.5
86.22%
▲
(+0.69)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5
81.58%
▼
(-0.67)
Under 0.5
18.41%
▲
(+0.66)
Over 1.5
50.43%
▼
(-1.13)
Under 1.5
49.56%
▲
(+1.13)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5
63.67%
▼
(-0.33)
Under 0.5
36.33%
▲
(+0.33)
Over 1.5
26.88%
▼
(-0.34)
Under 1.5
73.11%
▲
(+0.33)
Score analysis
Chelmsford City
53.29%
Draw
24.1%
Welling United
22.59%
Chelmsford City
1-0
@
11.31%
▲
(+0.26)
2-1 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 53.29%
2-1 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.16)
3-0 @ 5.4% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.11)
4-1 @ 2.31% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.10)
4-2 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 53.29%
Draw
1-1
@
11.46%
▲
(+0.19)
0-0 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.1%
0-0 @ 6.69% ▲ (+0.30)
2-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 24.1%
Welling United
0-1
@
6.77%
▲
(+0.25)
1-2 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.59%
1-2 @ 5.8% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.66% ▼ (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 22.59%
Head to Head
National League South
Gameweek
23
-
Arthur Penney
26'
-
Alfie Bendle
54'
-
Bradley Adam Williams
78'
-
Osman Foyo
85'
-
Osman Foyo
87'
National League South
Gameweek
30
-
Samir Carruthers
25'
National League South
Gameweek
3
-
Kain Adom
83'
-
Amadou Kassarate
87'
-
Charlie Ruff
62'
-
Frankie Terry
90'
-
Josh Castiglione
90'+9'
National League South
Gameweek
30
-
Taylor Maloney
49'
National League South
Gameweek
5
-
Taylor Maloney
85'
-
Simeon Jackson
67'
-
Simeon Jackson
81'
National League South
Gameweek
33
-
Dipo Akinyemi
35'