National League South | Gameweek 45
Apr 21, 2025 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City5 - 1Welling United
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Welling United.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Aveley 1-0 Chelmsford City
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
63
Last Game: Welling United 0-4 Maidstone
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Friday, April 18 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
45
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 53.3%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Welling United had a probability of 22.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Welling United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Welling United |
53.3% ( -0.66) | 24.1% ( 0.35) | 22.59% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 51.95% ( -0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
