Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 52.56%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Southport had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.43%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.05%), while for a Southport win it was 1-0 (7.82%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.