Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston United win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Southport had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Southport win it was 0-1 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston United would win this match.