Club Friendlies 3
Aug 8, 2026 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo  11' goal
  • Giovanni Di Lorenzo  38' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 19'
  • yellowcard 44'
  • goal Ferran Jutglà 65'

Napoli vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 5.30pm
Napoli 2 - 1 Osasuna

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Aug 5, 2026 7.00pm
Sassuolo 1 - 4 Celta Vigo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 23.57% and a win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (10.62%) and 2-0 (10.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%) , while for a Celta Vigo win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Napoli 58.73% (-0.25)
Draw 23.57% (+0.04)
Celta Vigo 17.66% (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.88% (+0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.94% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 24.06% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 51.82% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 48.18% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 29.8% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 70.2% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 17.79% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.21% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Napoli 44.54% (+0.04)
Draw 39.99% (-0.06)
Celta Vigo 15.48% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Napoli 65% (-0.07)
No Goal 6.64%
Celta Vigo 28.36% (+0.06)

Corners

Over 8 50.79% (+0.07)
Equal 8 12.4% (+0.01)
Under 8 36.81% (-0.08)
Over 9 38.83% (+0.05)
Equal 9 11.96% (+0.02)
Under 9 49.21% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 28.27% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 71.73% (-0.04)

Napoli Goals

Over 1.5 53.78% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 46.22% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 26.63% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 73.37% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 10.74% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 89.26% (+0.07)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 54.32% (+0.17)
Under 0.5 45.68% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 21.3% (+0.18)
Under 1.5 78.7% (-0.18)
Over 2.5 5.9% (+0.14)
Under 2.5 94.1% (-0.14)
Over 3.5 1.48% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 98.52% (-0.05)

Score analysis

Napoli 58.73%
Draw 23.56%
Celta Vigo 17.68%
Napoli
1-0 @ 11.96% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.62% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 10.39% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 5.95% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 5.7% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 10.71% (-0.07)
Total : 58.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.64%
2-2 @ 4.78%
Other @ 0.03% (+0.01)
Total : 23.56%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 5.43% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 4.77% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.45% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 1.54% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 1.36% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.45% (+0.04)
Total : 17.68%