Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 30.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (7.54%). The likeliest Nantes win was 1-0 (8.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.