Conference League
Aug 20, 2026 7.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 1
FT Fir Park
  • Regan Charles-Cook 2' goal
  • Joe Hodge 21' yellowcard
  • Lukas Fadinger 39' yellowcard
  • Martin Moormann 65' redcard
  • Alex Lowry 67' yellowcard
  • goal Matthias Ginter 28'
  • yellowcard Niklas Beste 59'
  • goal Matthias Ginter 65'
  • goal Keisuke Goto 90'+6'

Motherwell vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Motherwell

All competitions

Freiburg

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Motherwell win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 28.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Motherwell win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.81%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (7.09%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.

Result

Motherwell 46.2% (-0.06)
Draw 24.96%
Freiburg 28.81% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.37% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.08%
Under 1.5 23.92%
Over 2.5 52.56%
Under 2.5 47.44%
Over 3.5 30.32% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 69.68% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 17.56%
Under 4.5 82.44%

First Half Winner

Motherwell 37.97% (+0.04)
Draw 43.61% (-0.04)
Freiburg 18.42%

Team To Score First

Motherwell 60.32% (-0.03)
No Goal 6.58% (-0.02)
Freiburg 33.1% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 47% (+0.04)
Equal 8 12.02% (+0.01)
Under 8 40.99% (-0.02)
Over 9 35.74% (+0.02)
Equal 9 11.25% (+0.01)
Under 9 53% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 26.05% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 73.95% (-0.01)

Motherwell Goals

Over 1.5 45.22% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 54.78% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 20.67% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 79.33% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.7%
Under 3.5 92.3%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 63.36% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 36.64% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 31.31% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 68.69% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 12.28% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.72% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.96%
Under 3.5 96.04%

Score analysis

Motherwell 46.21%
Draw 24.96%
Freiburg 28.8%
Motherwell
1-0 @ 10.22% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.02% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.81% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.66%
Other @ 7.42%
Total : 46.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.44% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.43%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 24.96%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 7.09%
1-2 @ 6.67% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.27% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.83% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.29%
0-3 @ 1.97%
Other @ 3.68%
Total : 28.8%