Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Diego win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Austin FC had a probability of 19.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Diego win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.93%) and 2-0 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for an Austin FC win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Diego would win this match.