Major League Soccer

May 11, 2025 at 12.30am UK

Yankee Stadium

NY City
0 - 1
Montreal

Haak (44'), Haak (44'), Ilencic (90'), Ilencic (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Osei Owusu (48', 48')
Piette (39'), Piette (39'), Waterman (87'), Waterman (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between New York City FC and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

New York City FC

All competitions

Last Game: NY City 1-0 Cincinnati
Sunday, May 4 at 8pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

CF Montreal

All competitions

Last Game: Montreal 1-2 Philadelphia
Sunday, May 4 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.08%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	CF Montreal
56.88% ( 0)	21.77% ( 0)	21.34% ( -0)

Both teams to score 57.89% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.46% (

-0.01)

40.54% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.08% (

-0.02)

62.92% (

0.02)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.92% (

-0)

14.08% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.31% (

-0.01)

41.69% (

0.01)

CF Montreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.38% (

-0.01)

32.62% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.83% (

-0.01)

69.16% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 56.88%

CF Montreal 21.34%

Draw 21.76%

New York City FC	Draw	CF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.83% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.62% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.83% 4-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.2% Total : 56.88%	1-1 @ 10.08% 2-2 @ 5.54% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.76%	1-2 @ 5.65% 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.88% 1-3 @ 2.11% 2-3 @ 2.07% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.41% Total : 21.34%