Major League Soccer
Nov 8, 2026 12.00am
Allianz Field

Minnesota United vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Nov 2, 2026 1.30am
Los Angeles 1 - 3 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 31, 2026 9.00pm
Earthquakes 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Preston Judd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Minnesota United win with a probability of 45.73%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes has a probability of 29.71% and a draw has a probability of 24.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (6.53%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win is 1-2 (7.28%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.18%).

Result

Minnesota United 45.73% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 24.53% ▼ (-0.04)
San Jose Earthquakes 29.71% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.31% ▲ (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.49% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 21.51% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 56.42% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 43.58% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 3.5 33.94% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 66.06% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 4.5 20.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 4.5 79.95% ▼ (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 39.91% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 37.83% ▲ (+0.01)
San Jose Earthquakes 22.26%

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 58.03% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 5.79% ▼ (-0.02)
San Jose Earthquakes 36.18% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 63.88% ▲ (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.82% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 8 25.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 9 52.3% ▲ (+0.09)
Equal 9 11.58% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 9 36.12% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 10.5 40.97% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 10.5 59.03% ▼ (-0.15)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 47.02%
Under 1.5 52.98%
Over 2.5 22.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 77.17% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.94%
Under 3.5 91.06%

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 66.29% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 33.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.81% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 1.5 66.19% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 2.5 12.9% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 87.1% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.09% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 45.74%
Draw 24.54%
San Jose Earthquakes 29.7%
Minnesota United
2-1 @ 9.3%
1-0 @ 8.81%
2-0 @ 6.53% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.11%
3-0 @ 3.86%
3-2 @ 3.43% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 8.7%
Total : 45.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.84%
0-0 @ 5.79% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.54%
San Jose Earthquakes
1-2 @ 7.28% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.89% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.36%
1-3 @ 2.95%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2.03%
Other @ 3.67% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 29.7%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Aug 23, 2026 3.30am
1
5
HT : 1 3
FT PayPal Park
  • Timo Werner 4' goal
  • Benji Kikanović 85' yellowcard
  • goal Joaquín Pereyra 10'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 40'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 44'
  • goal Marcus Caldeira 65'
  • goal Mauricio Gonzalez 86'
US Open Cup
Apr 29, 2026 3.00am
4
2
HT : 1 0
FT PayPal Park
  • Beau Leroux 15' goal
  • Jack Skahan 34' yellowcard
  • Paul Marie 46' yellowcard
  • Jack Skahan 68' goal
  • Beau Leroux 73' goal
  • Niko Tsakiris 76' goal
  • Dave Romney 82' yellowcard
  • Ian Harkes 83' yellowcard
  • goal Ronaldo Vieira 59' (OG)
  • goal Tomás Chancalay 64'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 65'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Dieng 76'
  • yellowcard James Rodríguez 76'
  • yellowcard Mamadou Dieng 78'
  • yellowcard James Rodríguez 78'
  • yellowcard Mauricio Gonzalez 89'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2025 1.30am
4
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Mar 9, 2025 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Earthquakes Stadium
  • Beau Leroux 61' yellowcard
  • Beau Leroux 61' yellowcard
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 32'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 32'
  • yellowcard Hassani Dotson 45'
  • yellowcard Hassani Dotson 45'
Major League Soccer
Sep 1, 2024 3.30am
1
2
HT : 2 2
FT Avaya Stadium
  • Ousseni Bouda 33' goal
  • Ousseni Bouda 33' goal
  • Carlos Gruezo 87' yellowcard
  • Carlos Gruezo 87' yellowcard
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 9'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 9'
  • goal Jefferson Abel Diaz Beleno 64'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 64'
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 79'
  • yellowcard Jefferson Abel Diaz Beleno 79'
Major League Soccer
Jul 21, 2024 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Alejandro Bran 25' yellowcard
  • Alejandro Bran 25' yellowcard
  • Tanner Beason 38' goal
  • Tanner Beason 38' goal
  • Joseph Rosales 59' yellowcard
  • Joseph Rosales 59' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 68' yellowcard
  • Robin Lod 68' yellowcard
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 75' goal
  • Bongokuhle Hlongwane 75' goal
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 45'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 45'
  • yellowcard Preston Judd 79'
  • yellowcard Preston Judd 79'