Major League Soccer
Oct 17, 2026 9.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Field
  • AZ Jackson 24' yellowcard
  • AZ Jackson 49' goal
  • Kelvin Yeboah 68' goal
  • Marcus Caldeira 86' goal
  • Jefferson Díaz 90' yellowcard
  • goal Rafael Navarro 4'
  • goal Sang-bin Jeong 10'
  • yellowcard Miguel Perez 26'
  • yellowcard Sang-bin Jeong 51'

Minnesota United vs St Louis City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 2.30am
Colorado 2 - 2 Minnesota Utd
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

St Louis City

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 15, 2026 1.30am
St Louis City 0 - 0 Vancouver
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Simon Becher

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 33.67% and a draw had a probability of 28.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (5.6%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 0-1 (9.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result

Minnesota United 38.02% ▼ (-0.40)
Draw 28.35% ▲ (+0.31)
St Louis City 33.67% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.03% ▲ (+0.49)

Goals

Over 1.5 72.66% ▲ (+0.52)
Under 1.5 27.34% ▼ (-0.52)
Over 2.5 49.53% ▲ (+0.83)
Under 2.5 50.47% ▼ (-0.83)
Over 3.5 28.04% ▲ (+0.62)
Under 3.5 71.96% ▼ (-0.63)
Over 4.5 15.53% ▲ (+0.31)
Under 4.5 84.47% ▼ (-0.32)

First Half Winner

Minnesota United 34.49% ▼ (-0.29)
Draw 41.62% ▼ (-0.13)
St Louis City 23.89% ▲ (+0.41)

Team To Score First

Minnesota United 51.68% ▲ (+1.80)
No Goal 8.58% ▼ (-0.17)
St Louis City 39.74% ▼ (-1.63)

Corners

Over 8 64.78% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 8 10.76% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 8 24.46% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 9 53.17% ▼ (-0.79)
Equal 9 11.61% ▲ (+0.45)
Under 9 35.22% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 10.5 41.72% ▼ (-1.18)
Under 10.5 58.28% ▲ (+1.18)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 1.5 38.31% ▲ (+0.29)
Under 1.5 61.69% ▼ (-0.29)
Over 2.5 16.62% ▲ (+0.30)
Under 2.5 83.38% ▼ (-0.30)
Over 3.5 5.82% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 94.18% ▼ (-0.17)

St Louis City Goals

Over 0.5 67.75% ▲ (+0.41)
Under 0.5 32.25% ▼ (-0.40)
Over 1.5 34.62% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 1.5 65.38% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 2.5 13.17% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 2.5 86.83% ▼ (-0.55)
Over 3.5 3.98% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 96.02% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Minnesota United 38.01%
Draw 28.35%
St Louis City 33.67%
Minnesota United
1-0 @ 9.54% ▼ (-0.20)
2-1 @ 8.18% ▼ (-0.04)
2-0 @ 5.6% ▼ (-0.17)
3-1 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.14% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.48% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 5.42% ▲ (+0.09)
Total : 38.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05% ▼ (-0.07)
0-0 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.17)
2-2 @ 5.79% ▲ (+0.22)
3-3 @ 1.53% ▲ (+0.23)
Other @ 0.4% ▲ (+0.10)
Total : 28.35%
St Louis City
0-1 @ 9.25% ▼ (-0.17)
1-2 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.5% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.06% ▲ (+0.11)
0-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.11)
2-3 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 33.67%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Sep 13, 2026 1.30am
4
2
HT : 3 1
FT Energizer Park
  • Daniel Ethan Edelman 18' goal
  • Carlo Holse 22' goal
  • Rafael Navarro 38' goal
  • Rafael Navarro 57' goal
  • goal Tomás Chancalay 5'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall  47'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 61'
  • yellowcard Kyle Duncan 64'
  • redcard Kyle Duncan 80'
Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Jul 27, 2025 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
May 18, 2025 1.30am
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Joaquin Pereyra 3' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Pereyra 3' yellowcard
  • Tani Oluwaseyi 33' goal
  • Tani Oluwaseyi 33' goal
  • Joaquin Pereyra 62' goal
  • Joaquin Pereyra 62' goal
  • Julian Gressel 78' goal
  • Julian Gressel 78' goal
  • yellowcard Timo Baumgartl 11'
  • yellowcard Timo Baumgartl 11'
Major League Soccer
Oct 20, 2024 2.00am
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Robin Lod 21' goal
  • Robin Lod 21' goal
  • Joaquin Pereyra 59' yellowcard
  • Joaquin Pereyra 59' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Yeboah 66' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Yeboah 66' yellowcard
  • Jung Sang-bin 72' goal
  • Jung Sang-bin 72' goal
  • Frederick Kessler 78' goal
  • Frederick Kessler 78' goal
  • Jung Sang-bin 84' goal
  • Jung Sang-bin 84' goal
  • yellowcard Rasmus Alm 74'
  • yellowcard Rasmus Alm 74'
  • goal Marcel Hartel 75'
  • goal Marcel Hartel 75'
Major League Soccer
Sep 15, 2024 1.30am
1
3
HT : 2 2
FT CityPark
  • Cedric Teuchert 4' goal
  • Cedric Teuchert 4' goal
  • Eduard Lowen 90' yellowcard
  • Eduard Lowen 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 20'
  • yellowcard Michael Boxall 20'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 24'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 24'
  • goal Jayden Reid 52' (OG)
  • goal Jayden Reid 52' (OG)
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 62'
  • goal Kelvin Yeboah 62'
  • yellowcard Jung Sang-bin 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Jung Sang-bin 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2023 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Allianz Field
  • Dayne St Clair 20' yellowcard
  • Dayne St Clair 20' yellowcard
  • Jan Gregus 31' yellowcard
  • Jan Gregus 31' yellowcard
  • Teemu Pukki 48' goal
  • Teemu Pukki 48' goal
  • Michael Boxall 79' yellowcard
  • Michael Boxall 79' yellowcard
  • DJ Taylor 85' yellowcard
  • DJ Taylor 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joshua Yaro 29'
  • yellowcard Joshua Yaro 29'
  • yellowcard Roman Burki 47'
  • yellowcard Roman Burki 47'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Bell 59'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Bell 59'
  • goal Klauss 64'
  • goal Klauss 64'
  • goal Njabulo Blom 73'
  • goal Njabulo Blom 73'