Major League Soccer
Oct 15, 2026 2.30am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT America First Field
  • Luc De Fougerolles 79' goal
  • Ariath Piol 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Jasinski 90'+4'

Real Salt Lake vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Salt Lake

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 12.30am
Philadelphia 2 - 1 Salt Lake
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Sergi Solans

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 11, 2026 2.30am
Colorado 1 - 1 Earthquakes
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Preston Judd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Salt Lake win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Salt Lake win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.8%) and 2-0 (5.61%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-2 (7.87%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.

Result

Real Salt Lake 43.63%
Draw 23.43%
San Jose Earthquakes 32.94% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.5% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 16.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 63.77% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 2.5 36.23% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 3.5 41% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 59% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 25.23% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 74.77% ▲ (+0.07)

First Half Winner

Real Salt Lake 41.56% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 35.39% ▲ (+0.03)
San Jose Earthquakes 23.05% ▼ (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Real Salt Lake 59.06% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
San Jose Earthquakes 37.06% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 67.63% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 8 10.19%
Under 8 22.18% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 9 56.38% ▲ (+0.07)
Equal 9 11.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 9 32.37% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 10.5 45.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 10.5 54.98% ▼ (-0.06)

Real Salt Lake Goals

Over 1.5 49.54% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 50.46% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 24.61% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 75.39% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 3.5 9.97% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 90.03% ▲ (+0.04)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 70.53%
Under 0.5 29.47%
Over 1.5 40.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 59.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 17.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 82.16% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 6.36% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.64% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Real Salt Lake 43.62%
Draw 23.42%
San Jose Earthquakes 32.94%
Real Salt Lake
2-1 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 6.8% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.13% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.6%
Other @ 9.56% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 43.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.22%
2-2 @ 6.83% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.08%
Other @ 0.41% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 23.42%
San Jose Earthquakes
1-2 @ 7.87% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.52% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.2% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 32.94%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer MLS Playoffs
Jul 27, 2025 2.30am
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Feb 23, 2025 3.30am
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Earthquakes Stadium
  • Jamar Ricketts 28' goal
  • Jamar Ricketts 28' goal
  • Rodrigues 70' goal
  • Rodrigues 70' goal
  • Cristian Espinoza 73' yellowcard
  • Cristian Espinoza 73' yellowcard
  • Ousseni Bouda 74' goal
  • Ousseni Bouda 74' goal
  • Ian Harkes 81' yellowcard
  • Ian Harkes 81' yellowcard
  • Vitor Costa 83' goal
  • Vitor Costa 83' goal
  • Mark-Anthony Kaye 87' yellowcard
  • Mark-Anthony Kaye 87' yellowcard
  • Daniel Brito 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Daniel Brito 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alexandros Katranis 54'
  • yellowcard Alexandros Katranis 54'
  • yellowcard Diego Luna 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Diego Luna 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Oct 6, 2024 3.30am
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Earthquakes Stadium
  • yellowcard Alexandros Katranis 45'
  • yellowcard Alexandros Katranis 45'
  • yellowcard Anderson Julio 53'
  • yellowcard Anderson Julio 53'
  • goal Diego Luna 78'
  • goal Diego Luna 78'
  • yellowcard Anderson Julio 85'
  • yellowcard Anderson Julio 85'
  • yellowcard Zac MacMath 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Justen Glad 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Zac MacMath 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Justen Glad 90'+5'
Major League Soccer
Aug 25, 2024 2.30am
0
2
HT : 0 4
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Lachlan Brook 81' yellowcard
  • Lachlan Brook 81' yellowcard
  • goal Cristian Espinoza 20'
  • goal Cristian Espinoza 20'
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 33'
  • goal Amahl Pellegrino 33'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 37'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 37'
  • yellowcard Daniel Brito 84'
  • yellowcard Daniel Brito 84'
Major League Soccer
Sep 17, 2023 3.30am
2
1
HT : 4 2
FT Avaya Stadium
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 2' goal
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 2' goal
  • Rodrigues 15' goal
  • Rodrigues 15' goal
  • yellowcard Brayan Vera 13'
  • yellowcard Brayan Vera 13'
  • goal Cristian Arango 44'
  • goal Cristian Arango 44'
  • yellowcard Cristian Arango 69'
  • yellowcard Cristian Arango 69'
Major League Soccer
Apr 23, 2023 2.30am
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Rio Tinto Stadium
  • Jasper Loffelsend 39' goal
  • Jefferson Savarino 54' goal
  • Andres Gomez 80' goal
  • goal Cristian Espinoza 49'