Major League Soccer
Oct 25, 2026 1.30am
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Petar Musa 82' goal
  • Petar Musa 88' goal
  • Santiago Moreno 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Reid Roberts 28'
  • yellowcard Angus Gunn 64'

Dallas vs San Jose Earthquakes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dallas

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 1.30am
Houston 2 - 2 Dallas
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Petar Musa

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 3.30am
Earthquakes 1 - 1 Nashville
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Preston Judd

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dallas win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 30.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dallas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (6.81%). The likeliest San Jose Earthquakes win was 0-1 (7.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Dallas 44.1% ▲ (+0.22)
Draw 25.62% ▼ (-0.11)
San Jose Earthquakes 30.29% ▼ (-0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.77% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.61% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 23.39% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 53.35% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 2.5 46.62% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.49% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 3.5 68.51% ▲ (+0.22)
Over 4.5 18.02% ▼ (-0.13)
Under 4.5 81.98% ▲ (+0.14)

First Half Winner

Dallas 37.88% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 38.12% ▼ (-0.15)
San Jose Earthquakes 24% ▲ (+0.06)

Team To Score First

Dallas 57.31% ▲ (+0.11)
No Goal 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)
San Jose Earthquakes 36.32% ▼ (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 65.76% ▼ (-0.43)
Equal 8 10.21% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 8 24.03% ▲ (+0.42)
Over 9 54.68% ▼ (-0.42)
Equal 9 11.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 9 34.24% ▲ (+0.43)
Over 10.5 43.64% ▼ (-0.36)
Under 10.5 56.36% ▲ (+0.36)

Dallas Goals

Over 1.5 44.34% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 55.66% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 20.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 79.92% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 7.44% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 92.56% ▲ (+0.05)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5 66.34% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 0.5 33.66% ▲ (+0.14)
Over 1.5 33.3% ▼ (-0.21)
Under 1.5 66.7% ▲ (+0.21)
Over 2.5 12.42% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 2.5 87.58% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 3.5 3.88% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 3.5 96.12% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Dallas 44.09%
Draw 25.62%
San Jose Earthquakes 30.29%
Dallas
1-0 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.09% ▲ (+0.06)
2-0 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.06)
3-1 @ 4.64% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 3.07%
Other @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 44.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.86% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.13% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 25.62%
San Jose Earthquakes
0-1 @ 7.45%
1-2 @ 7.29% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.05)
Total : 30.29%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
May 17, 2026 3.30am
2
3
HT : 1 1
FT PayPal Park
  • Beau Leroux 18' goal
  • Beau Leroux 42' yellowcard
  • Nick Fernandez 70' yellowcard
  • Paul Marie 79' yellowcard
  • Jack Skahan 79' yellowcard
  • Reid Roberts 81' goal
  • goal Patrickson Delgado 1'
  • goal Petar Musa 49'
  • yellowcard Logan Farrington 65'
  • yellowcard Ran Binyamin 70'
  • yellowcard 70'
  • yellowcard Christian Cappis 70'
  • yellowcard Sebastien Ibeagha 84'
  • yellowcard Sam Sarver 84'
  • goal Sam Sarver 90'+3'
Major League Soccer
Jul 17, 2025 3.30am
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2025 1.30am
2
4
HT : 0 0
FT
Major League Soccer
Oct 3, 2024 3.30am
3
2
HT : 2 2
FT Earthquakes Stadium
  • Hernan Lopez 13' goal
  • Hernan Lopez 13' goal
  • Paul Marie 36' yellowcard
  • Paul Marie 36' yellowcard
  • Paul Arriola 74' yellowcard
  • Carlos Gruezo 74' yellowcard
  • Hernan Lopez 79' goal
  • Hernan Lopez 79' goal
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 83' goal
  • Jeremy Ebobisse 83' goal
  • yellowcard Nkosi Burgess 15'
  • yellowcard Nkosi Burgess 15'
  • goal Alan Velasco 41'
  • goal Alan Velasco 41'
  • yellowcard Alan Velasco 55'
  • yellowcard Alan Velasco 55'
  • yellowcard Sebastien Ibeagha 60'
  • yellowcard Sebastien Ibeagha 60'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 74'
  • yellowcard Paul Arriola 74'
  • goal Sebastien Ibeagha 90'
  • goal Sebastien Ibeagha 90'
Major League Soccer
Feb 25, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Asier Illarramendi 25' goal
  • Asier Illarramendi 25' goal
  • Dante Sealy 90'+4' goal
  • Dante Sealy 90'+4' goal
  • goal Benji Kikanovic 6'
  • goal Benji Kikanovic 6'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 21'
  • yellowcard Carlos Gruezo 21'
  • yellowcard Rodrigues 45'
  • yellowcard Rodrigues 45'
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 1.30am
1
1
HT : 0 2
FT Toyota Stadium
  • Jader Obrian 57' goal
  • Jader Obrian 57' goal
  • Sebastien Ibeagha 60' yellowcard
  • Sebastien Ibeagha 60' yellowcard
  • Ema Twumasi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Ema Twumasi 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 3'
  • goal Jeremy Ebobisse 3'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Ebobisse 21'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Ebobisse 21'