Major League Soccer
Oct 25, 2026 1.30am
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Shell Energy Stadium
  • Antônio Carlos 9' yellowcard
  • Agustín Bouzat 30' yellowcard
  • Lawrence Ennali 34' yellowcard
  • Ben Olsen 44' yellowcard
  • Ben Olsen 45' redcard
  • B. Olsen 45' redcard

Houston Dynamo vs Minnesota United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Houston Dynamo

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 18, 2026 1.30am
Houston 2 - 2 Dallas
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Guilherme

Minnesota United

All competitions
Major League Soccer
Last game
Oct 17, 2026 9.30pm
Minnesota Utd 3 - 2 St Louis City
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Kelvin Yeboah

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Houston Dynamo win with a probability of 44.73%. A win for Minnesota United had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Houston Dynamo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.91%) and 2-0 (6.62%). The likeliest Minnesota United win was 1-2 (7.35%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.39%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.

Result

Houston Dynamo 44.73% ▲ (+0.09)
Draw 25.46% ▼ (-0.12)
Minnesota United 29.77% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.95% ▼ (-0.05)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.95% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 22.05% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 2.5 55.67% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 44.33% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 33.04% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 66.96% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 4.5 19.14% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 4.5 80.86% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Houston Dynamo 37.38% ▲ (+0.10)
Draw 37.54% ▲ (+0.02)
Minnesota United 25.07% ▼ (-0.13)

Team To Score First

Houston Dynamo 55.1% ▲ (+0.11)
No Goal 6.14% ▼ (-0.02)
Minnesota United 38.76% ▼ (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 63.94% ▼ (-0.15)
Equal 8 10.92%
Under 8 25.14% ▲ (+0.15)
Over 9 52.23% ▼ (-0.14)
Equal 9 11.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 36.06% ▲ (+0.16)
Over 10.5 40.76% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 10.5 59.24% ▲ (+0.11)

Houston Dynamo Goals

Over 1.5 46.17% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 53.83% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 2.5 21.6% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 78.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 8.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 91.96% ▲ (+0.01)

Minnesota United Goals

Over 0.5 66.81% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 0.5 33.19% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 1.5 34% ▼ (-0.10)
Under 1.5 66% ▲ (+0.10)
Over 2.5 13.16% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 2.5 86.84% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 4.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 95.92% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Houston Dynamo 44.73%
Draw 25.45%
Minnesota United 29.78%
Houston Dynamo
2-1 @ 9.57% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 8.91%
2-0 @ 6.62% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 7.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 44.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.39% ▼ (-0.04)
0-0 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.05)
3-3 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.32% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.45%
Minnesota United
1-2 @ 7.35% ▲ (+0.02)
0-1 @ 6.96% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.28%
1-3 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.43%
0-3 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 3.76% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 29.78%

Head to Head

Major League Soccer
Oct 11, 2026 1.30am
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT Allianz Field
  • Kelvin Yeboah 48' goal
  • Mauricio Gonzalez 66' yellowcard
  • Marcus Caldeira 78' goal
  • Wil Trapp 82' yellowcard
  • goal Lyle Foster 18'
  • goal Duncan McGuire 90'+2'
Major League Soccer
Jun 26, 2025 1.30am
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
MLS Playoffs
May 15, 2025 1.30am
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Pablo Ortiz 40' yellowcard
  • Pablo Ortiz 40' yellowcard
  • Pablo Ortiz 45'+1' goal
  • Pablo Ortiz 45'+1' goal
  • Felipe de Andrade Vieira 77' goal
  • Felipe de Andrade Vieira 77' goal
  • Toyosi Olusanya 88' yellowcard
  • Toyosi Olusanya 88' yellowcard
  • Junior Urso 90' yellowcard
  • Junior Urso 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 69'
  • yellowcard Robin Lod 69'
Major League Soccer
Jul 14, 2024 2.27am
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • Griffin Dorsey 36' yellowcard
  • Griffin Dorsey 36' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Ferreira 82' goal
  • Sebastian Ferreira 82' goal
  • Amine Bassi 87' yellowcard
  • Amine Bassi 87' yellowcard
  • goal Robin Lod 70'
  • goal Robin Lod 70'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Devin Padelford 90'+4'
Major League Soccer
Apr 14, 2024 1.30am
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Allianz Field
  • Michael Boxall 55' yellowcard
  • Michael Boxall 55' yellowcard
  • Franco Fragapane 70' goal
  • Franco Fragapane 70' goal
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 23'
  • yellowcard Adalberto Carrasquilla 23'
  • goal Alejandro Bran 38'
  • goal Alejandro Bran 38' (OG)
  • yellowcard Micael 40'
  • yellowcard Micael 40'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Kowalczyk 74'
  • yellowcard Sebastian Kowalczyk 74'
  • goal Sebastian Kowalczyk 77'
  • goal Sebastian Kowalczyk 77'
  • yellowcard Daniel Steres 87'
  • yellowcard Daniel Steres 87'
Major League Soccer
Jul 13, 2023 1.30am
0
3
HT : 0 6
FT BBVA Compass Stadium
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 15'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 15'
  • goal Bongokuhle Hlongwane 15'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 20'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 20'
  • goal Teemu Pukki 20'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 87'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 87'
  • goal Ismael Tajouri 87'