Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 47.08%. A win for Real Salt Lake had a probability of 31.13% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.78%) and 1-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Real Salt Lake win was 1-2 (7.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.