MLS Playoffs | MLS Cup Round One

Nov 2, 2024 at 11pm UK

Mercedes-Benz Stadium

Atlanta
2 - 1
Inter Miami

Williams (58'), Silva (90+4')
Hernandez (45+1'), Williams (63'), Slisz (90+3'), Silva (90+5')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martinez (40')
Aviles (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atlanta United

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Inter Miami

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Miami 2-1 Atlanta
Saturday, October 26 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.54%) and 1-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.

Result
Atlanta United	Draw	Inter Miami
52.12% ( -0.39)	21.34% ( 0.23)	26.54% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 66.04% (

-0.69)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

67.32% (

-0.96)

32.68% (

0.97)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

45.64% (

-1.12)

54.35% (

1.13)

Atlanta United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.11% (

-0.44)

12.89% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.71% (

-0.92)

39.29% (

0.93)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.8% (

-0.4)

24.19% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.47% (

-0.57)

58.52% (

0.58)

Score Analysis

Atlanta United 52.12%

Inter Miami 26.54%

Draw 21.34%

Atlanta United	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 6.34% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.25% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.06) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( -0.06) 5-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 0.94% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 52.12%	1-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 6.59% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.16) 3-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.44% Total : 21.34%	1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 4.42% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.04% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.54%