Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 52.12%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 26.54% and a draw had a probability of 21.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (6.54%) and 1-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Atlanta United in this match.