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Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Den
Blackburn logo

Millwall
0 - 2
Blackburn


Woods (43'), Evans (77')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dack (18'), Gallagher (75')
Brereton (56'), Gallagher (65'), Trybull (77'), Kaminski (85')

Preview: Millwall vs. Blackburn Rovers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Blackburn Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Blackburn Rovers will be looking to break a run of seven games without a win on Saturday, when they travel to The Den to take on Gary Rowett's Millwall.

The hosts have enjoyed a solid recent run having suffered just one defeat in their last 11 league games, seeing them move up to 10th in the Championship table, while Tony Mowbray's side have fallen to 15th spot.


Match preview

Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured in February 2021© Reuters

In their last game, Millwall hosted a struggling Preston North End side, but it was the visitors who took the lead early on through Ched Evans.

Scott Malone then equalised for Rowett's side after 40 minutes, before Mason Bennett headed in a late winner, taking advantage of Daniel Iversen's hesitation in the Preston goal.

That sealed a 10th league win of the season for the Lions, while they have only lost eight of their 34 Championship games so far this campaign.

That is mostly down to their resilient home form, with Rowett's men suffering just one defeat from their 17 league games at their London ground.

However, their issue could be that they struggle to turn draws into wins, having drawn 10 of those 17 home matches and 16 league games overall, four more draws than any other side in the division.

Rowett will definitely see this game as a good opportunity to record consecutive home victories, as they look to continue their rise up the table.

Blackburn Rovers manager Tony Mowbray pictured in January 2021© Reuters

Meanwhile, Blackburn will be on the hunt for a first league win since January, having gone seven games without a victory.

Last time out, Tony Mowbray's side fell to a 1-0 away defeat at the hands of fifth-placed Reading, as George Puscas netted the only goal of the game in the first half.

That followed a somewhat disappointing 1-1 draw at home to Coventry City, when Matty James equalised for the visitors after Ben Brereton gave Rovers the lead.

That draw was the only point the Lancashire outfit have picked up in the last seven matches, having previously lost five consecutive games to Queens Park Rangers, Preston, Barnsley, Nottingham Forest and Watford.

Mowbray will be hoping for a reaction from his side in this game, as they look to avoid slipping further towards the relegation scrap.

Millwall Championship form: WWDDLW

Blackburn Rovers Championship form: LLLLDL


Team News

Millwall's Scott Malone celebrates scoring their first goal against Preston North End in the Championship on March 2, 2021© Reuters

Millwall are expected to remain without midfielder Maikel Kieftenbeld, who has not featured in the squad since he was forced off with an injury in the win over Sheffield Wednesday in early February.

Similarly, Ryan Leonard has also been absent since the victory over Sheffield Wednesday, handing a further blow to Rowett's midfield options.

Mason Bennett, Jed Wallace and Jon Dadi Bodvarsson could form their front three once again, although striker Matt Smith will also be pushing for a starting spot.

Blackburn will be without experienced centre-back Daniel Ayala, who remains out with a groin injury having failed to appear since the turn of the year.

In his absence, Everton loanee Jarrad Branthwaite and Manchester City loanee Taylor Harwood-Bellis have battled for a starting spot alongside Darragh Lenihan, with Harwood-Bellis being preferred in the last game.

Key midfielder Bradley Dack has failed to put together a long run of starts this season having struggled with injuries, while Lewis Holtby remains out with a knee ligament injury.

Liverpool loanee Harvey Elliott has shone for Tony Mowbray's side this season, registering five goals and nine assists in league action.

He is joined in attack by the clinical Adam Armstrong, who has racked up 19 league goals this campaign, a tally only topped by Brentford's Ivan Toney.

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Evans, Hutchinson, Cooper; Romeo, Woods, Thompson, Malone; Wallace, Smith, Bennett

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Kaminski; Nyambe, Lenihan, Harwood-Bellis, Douglas; Evans, Rothwell, Dack; Elliot, Armstrong, Brereton


SM words green background

We say: Millwall 1-0 Blackburn Rovers

Millwall have proven to be extremely difficult to beat at The Den this campaign, and that coupled with the poor form of Blackburn should result in another win for the London outfit.

Their tight defensive structure should see them to another narrow victory, as the Lions continue their impressive rise up the Championship table.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Sam Varley

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 37.11%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.87%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Millwall vs Blackburn

Millwall
67.9%
Draw
21.4%
Blackburn Rovers
10.7%
56
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Preston North End manager Alex Neil pictured in December 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Sunderland21117332171540
4Burnley2010822471738
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
8Watford199462725231
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
13Millwall206772018225
14Derby CountyDerby216692626024
15Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
16Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
17Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
18Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
19Luton TownLuton2164112337-1422
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


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