EFL Cup
Aug 7, 2026 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Riverside Stadium
  • Will Lankshear 61' goal
  • Will Lankshear 69' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lewis O'Brien 43'
  • yellowcard Sam Smith 56'
  • yellowcard Dominic Hyam 85'
  • yellowcard Callum Doyle 90'+1'

Middlesbrough vs Wrexham - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Wrexham

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 55.81%. A draw had a probability of 23.01% and a win for Wrexham had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%) , while for a Wrexham win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result

Middlesbrough 55.81% (-0.01)
Draw 23.01% (+0.02)
Wrexham 21.18%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.38% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.83% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 23.17% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 54.43% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.57% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.96% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 67.04% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 20.68%
Under 4.5 79.32%

First Half Winner

Middlesbrough 39.66% (-0.03)
Draw 41.73% (+0.03)
Wrexham 18.61% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Middlesbrough 61.77%
No Goal 6.43%
Wrexham 31.8%

Corners

Over 8 64.49% (+0.06)
Equal 8 10.46%
Under 8 25.06% (-0.07)
Over 9 53.26% (+0.06)
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 35.51% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 42.18% (+0.05)
Under 10.5 57.82% (-0.05)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 1.5 53.32% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 46.68% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 28.22% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 71.78% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 12.5% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 87.5% (-0.02)

Wrexham Goals

Over 0.5 55.52% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 44.48% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 24.33% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75.67% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 8.7% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 91.3% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.49%
Under 3.5 97.51%

Score analysis

Middlesbrough 55.82%
Draw 23.01%
Wrexham 21.18%
Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 10.66% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.22% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.21% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 6% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.59%
3-2 @ 2.96%
Other @ 12.18%
Total : 55.82%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.3%
0-0 @ 6.43%
2-2 @ 4.79%
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.32% (+0.02)
Total : 23.01%
Wrexham
0-1 @ 6.09%
1-2 @ 5% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.88%
1-3 @ 1.9%
2-3 @ 1.88% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.17% (-0.02)
Total : 21.18%

Head to Head

Championship
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 2
FT Racecourse Ground
  • Josh Windass 28' goal
  • Sam Smith 41' goal
  • Nathan Broadhead 63' yellowcard
  • Ben Sheaf 63' yellowcard
  • Kieffer Moore 73' yellowcard
  • Ryan Longman 73' yellowcard
  • D. Keillor-Dunn 83' yellowcard
  • goal Tommy Conway 4'
  • goal David Strelec 43'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 45'
  • yellowcard Riley McGree 46'
  • yellowcard Leo Castledine 71'
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sarmiento 71'
  • yellowcard Kaly Sène 87'
Championship
Oct 25, 2025 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT