Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.71% and a win for Australia had a probability of 23.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%) , while for a Australia win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.