International Friendlies
May 31, 2026 3.00am
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Rose Bowl
  • Johan Vásquez 28' goal
  • César Huerta 52' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Italiano 32'

Mexico vs Australia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Mexico

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
May 23, 2026 3.00am
Mexico 2 - 0 Ghana

Australia

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last game
Mar 31, 2026 10.10am
Australia 5 - 1 Curacao

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mexico win with a probability of 49.17%. A draw had a probability of 27.71% and a win for Australia had a probability of 23.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mexico win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.05%) , while for a Australia win it was 0-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood.

Result

Mexico 49.17% (+4.43)
Draw 27.71% (+1.11)
Australia 23.12% (-5.53)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.29% (-4.76)

Goals

Over 1.5 67.52% (-3.54)
Under 1.5 32.48% (+3.53)
Over 2.5 40.91% (-4.80)
Under 2.5 59.09% (+4.80)
Over 3.5 20.42% (-4.18)
Under 3.5 79.58% (+4.18)
Over 4.5 10.59% (-2.51)
Under 4.5 89.41% (+2.51)

First Half Winner

Mexico 34.4% (+34.40)
Draw 46.53% (+46.53)
Australia 19.06% (+19.06)

Team To Score First

Mexico 56.42% (+56.42)
No Goal 9.93% (+9.93)
Australia 33.65% (+33.65)

Corners

Over 8 41.73% (+41.73)
Equal 8 12.54% (+12.54)
Under 8 45.73% (+45.73)
Over 9 30.48% (+30.48)
Equal 9 11.25% (+11.25)
Under 9 58.27% (+58.27)
Over 10.5 21.22% (+21.22)
Under 10.5 78.78% (+78.78)

Mexico Goals

Over 1.5 41.14% (+0.58)
Under 1.5 58.86% (-0.58)
Over 2.5 16.79% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 83.21% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 5.49% (-0.19)
Under 3.5 94.51% (+0.20)

Australia Goals

Over 0.5 56.37% (-5.79)
Under 0.5 43.63% (+5.79)
Over 1.5 21.3% (-6.60)
Under 1.5 78.7% (+6.61)
Over 2.5 5.67% (-3.70)
Under 2.5 94.33% (+3.71)
Over 3.5 1.33% (-1.23)
Under 3.5 98.67% (+1.24)

Score analysis

Mexico 49.17%
Draw 27.7%
Australia 23.13%
Mexico
1-0 @ 13.92% (+2.19)
2-0 @ 9.79% (+1.56)
2-1 @ 9.27% (+0.45)
3-0 @ 4.54% (+0.67)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.23)
Other @ 5.45% (-0.14)
Total : 49.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.05% (+0.62)
0-0 @ 9.93% (+1.53)
2-2 @ 4.12% (-0.69)
Other @ 0.04% (-0.05)
Total : 27.7%
Australia
0-1 @ 8.63% (-0.17)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-1.06)
0-2 @ 3.78% (-0.93)
1-3 @ 1.57% (-0.91)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.62)
0-3 @ 1.04% (-0.66)
Other @ 1.29% (-1.19)
Total : 23.13%

Head to Head

International Friendlies
Sep 10, 2023 3.00am
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Rene Gaillard
  • Raul Jimenez 69' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 69' goal
  • Raul Jimenez 69' yellowcard
  • Raul Jimenez 69' yellowcard
  • Cesar Huerta 83' goal
  • Cesar Huerta 83' goal
  • goal Harry Souttar 16'
  • goal Harry Souttar 16'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Duke 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Mitchell Duke 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Connor Metcalfe 46'
  • yellowcard Connor Metcalfe 46'
  • goal Martin Boyle 63'
  • goal Martin Boyle 63'