Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Montpellier HSC win with a probability of 46.03%. A win for Metz had a probability of 29.85% and a draw had a probability of 24.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.31%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Metz win was 1-0 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%).