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Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Dec 12, 2020 at 4pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Monaco

Marseille
2 - 1
Monaco

Thauvin (5'), Benedetto (13')
Kamara (76'), Thauvin (77'), Germain (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Ben Yedder (79' pen.)
Fofana (43')

Preview: Marseille vs. Monaco - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Marseille will be looking to recover from their recent Champions League exit when they welcome Monaco to the Orange Velodrome for a mouth-watering showdown in Ligue 1.

The two French powerhouses are only separated by a solitary point in the table, with Marseille - who have two games in hand - in fourth, while Monaco sit fifth.


Match preview

Marseille manager Andre Villas-Boas pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Despite sweeping aside the competition in the league in recent weeks, Marseille have just not been able to hack it on the biggest stage of them all.

Andre Villas-Boas's men travelled to Manchester City with a spot in the Europa League still a possibility, but Pep Guardiola promised to put out a strong team for their dead rubber and he did just that, with Marseille succumbing to a 3-0 defeat at the Etihad Stadium.

Ferran Torres and Sergio Aguero were both on target while Alvaro Gonzalez also turned into his own net in the second half, with Dimitri Payet seeing a first-half strike ruled out for offside, and that result confirmed Marseille's fourth-placed finish and a premature end to their Champions League campaign.

However, Les Olympiens have fared much better domestically and are the only team in the French top flight to have won their last five league games on the bounce - a run of form which sees them sit just four points adrift of current leaders Paris Saint-Germain with two games in hand.

Villas-Boas's men have not tasted defeat in Ligue 1 since September and cruised to a 2-0 win at Nimes in their most recent top-flight outing, with the two Olympiens frontmen in Dario Benedetto and Valere Germain both notching up goals in that one.

Monaco manager Niko Kovac pictured in September 2020© Reuters

With Marseille taking 15 points from a possible 15 in their last five matches, Monaco were determined to follow suit when they travelled to another high-flying side in Lille in last weekend's pick of the games.

Niko Kovac's men had strung together a four-game winning run before their showdown with Les Dogues, who ended up scraping a narrow 2-1 win on their own turf thanks to goals from Jonathan David and the much-coveted Yusuf Yazici.

Pietro Pellegri came off the bench to net his first goal of the season in the dying embers, but the 19-year-old's strike was a mere consolation as Monaco lost ground on the top two at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy.

A victory for Marseille in this encounter could see Les Olympiens leapfrog Lille and Lyon into second should both teams suffer defeat this weekend, and Monaco are also able to climb three places with three points at the Orange Velodrome, but the 18 goals that Les Monegasques have already shipped are doing them no favours with regards to goal difference.

Monaco marched to a 2-1 triumph when the sides met most recently in last season's Coupe de la Ligue, and Marseille have not tasted victory on their own turf against Les Monegasques since the 2014-15 campaign.

Marseille Ligue 1 form: DWWWWW
Marseille form (all competitions): WLWWWL

Monaco Ligue 1 form: LWWWWL


Team News

Monaco's Axel Disasi celebrates with teammates after scoring against Nice on November 8, 2020© Reuters

Marseille left-back Jordan Amavi played no part against City after sustaining a muscular injury, and the defender will not recover in time for this one either.

Yuto Nagatomo will deputise on the left-hand side again after starting at the Etihad, while Benedetto, Valentin Rongier and Duje Caleta-Car are all expected to return to the starting XI.

However, Villas-Boas himself will watch this one from the stands after being sent off for protesting an Amavi booking in last weekend's win at Nimes, and the Olympiens manager will be joined by Payet, who is suspended following an accumulation of bookings.

As for Monaco, Vito Mannone is set to continue in between the sticks as Benjamin Lecomte recovers from a broken hand, with Kovac's number one looking set to remain out of action until 2021.

Aleksandr Golovin is back in training after a serious hamstring injury but the trip to the Orange Velodrome may come too soon for the Russia international.

Djibril Sidibe is not too far away from a return after a calf problem, but the right-back would struggle to displace Ruben Aguilar, with Kovac potentially tempted to stick with the same XI from last week's loss to Lille.

Marseille possible starting lineup:
Mandanda; Sakai, Gonzalez, Caleta-Car, Nagatomo; Kamara, Rongier, Sanson; Cuisance; Thauvin, Benedetto

Monaco possible starting lineup:
Mannone; Aguilar, Disasi, Badiashile, Henrique; Martins, Fofana, Tchouameni, Diop; Ben Yedder, Volland


SM words green background

We say: Marseille 2-1 Monaco

Monoco's away form is actually rather poor, with Les Monegasques suffering defeat in four of their last five matches on the road, and Wissam Ben Yedder is not quite back to his best yet after recovering from coronavirus. Marseille's domestic dominance has not been hampered by their continental woes, and while Villas-Boas's men have struggled to overcome Monaco at the Orange Velodrome in recent years, we expect Les Olympiens to take the spoils in this highly-anticipated battle.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Ben Knapton

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 39.19%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 34.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Monaco win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Marseille vs Monaco

Marseille
60.5%
Draw
22.2%
Monaco
17.3%
81
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG14104037112634
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon147432617925
6Lens156631914524
7Nice146532617923
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest145182026-616
12Rennes144281820-214
13NantesNantes143561620-414
14StrasbourgStrasbourg143562227-514
15Angers143471424-1013
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1440101126-1512
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1422101336-238


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