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[monks data]
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12
Jan 3, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
Boavista

Maritimo
0 - 0
Boavista


Winck (48'), Rene (75'), Macedo (88')
FT

Elis (27'), Paulinho (61'), Gomes (90+1'), Awaziem (90+4')

Preview: Maritimo vs. Boavista - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Boavista, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Maritimo will be looking to get their fifth league win of the season under their belts when they entertain strugglers Boavista on Sunday.

Boavista, who have not won a game in the Primeira Liga since their shock victory against local rivals Benfica in early November, will be desperate to put their run of poor form behind them and haul themselves out of the relegation zone.


Match preview

Gustavo Sauer pictured in action for Boavista in June 2020© Reuters

Since his arrival in early December, new head coach Lito Vidigal has turned Maritimo's fortunes around with consecutive league wins against Belenenses and Rio Ave.

With the team's run of poor form behind them, Maritimo, who currently sit ninth in the league, will be eager to extend their new lease of life against Boavista at the Estadio de Maritimo. 

While the Madeira-based outfit's defence has been shaky at times this season, Vidigal can take pride in the fact that his team boast one of the best attacks in the league with a total of 14 goals scored so far.

This can largely be attributed to the consistency of the team's talismanic forward Rodrigo Pinho, who has netted half of his side's goals this season, and Vidigal will certainly hope that his star man is up for the fight on Sunday.
 
One man who will be praying that Pinho has not got his shooting boots on is Boavista boss Jesualdo Ferreira, who will only be taking charge of his third game at the club since his return in mid-December.

If the age-old Lisbon club are to avoid the drop this season, Ferreira will have to move fast in shoring up his team's defence. 

The Panthers have the joint-worst defence in the league this season having conceded 20 goals so far, leaking almost two goals a game on average. 

Yet, having only lost once in their last four games, there are signs that Boavista could be on the cusp of turning the corner.

Maritimo Primeira Liga form: DLLLWW

Boavista Primeira Liga form: WLDDDL


Team News

Having emerged both victorious and largely unscathed from their 3-1 win over Rio Ave on Monday, Vidigal will have a fit and healthy squad at his disposal against Boavista. 

With Joel bagging a brace against Rio Ave last time out, there is little doubt that the Cameroonian attacker will retain his place in the starting XI.

Much like Vidigal, Ferreira will also have the satisfaction of a predominantly fit squad on Sunday.

Honduran striker Jorge Benguche made a late substitute appearance against Braga last time out, suggesting he could work his way into Ferreira's plans.

However, Ferreira will likely start former Manchester United starlet Angel Gomes who has picked up three goals and five assists so far this season.

Maritimo possible starting lineup:
Abedzadeh; Santos, Junior, Andrade; Winck, Bambock, Jean, Hermes; Joel, Pinho, Guitane

Boavista possible starting lineup:
Leonardo; Cannon, Devenish, Awaziem, Hamache; Paulinho, Show, Santos; Elis, Gomes, Nije


SM words green background

We say: Maritimo 2-1 Boavista

There is little doubt about it, Maritimo are the better outfit in this clash, and with Joel and Pinho both playing well, Vidigal's men definitely look capable of stealing all three points. Do not expect Boavista to go down quietly though.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boavista win with a probability of 38.01%. A win for Maritimo had a probability of 32.91% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boavista win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Maritimo win was 1-0 (11.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.


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Braga's Paulinho celebrates scoring against Leicester City in the Europa League on November 26, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca311361253421145
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
10Casa Pia3088143043-1332
11SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
12Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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