MX23RW : Saturday, April 27 12:52:05| >> :600:27819116:27819116:
[monks data]
Maritimo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 23, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Estadio dos Barreiros
Belenenses

Maritimo
1 - 1
Belenenses

Costa (45+5')
Joel (43')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Safira (13' pen.)
Tavares (26'), Akas (32'), van der Gaag (45+3')
van der Gaag (67')

Preview: Maritimo vs. Belenenses - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Maritimo and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Maritimo will look to stretch their winning run to four league games on Sunday, when they play host to Belenenses.

The visitors sit at the foot of the Primeira Liga table after a defeat to Porto last time out, while Vasco Seabra's side have climbed to ninth spot.


Match preview

Belenenes' Abel Camara celebrates scoring their first goal on January 16, 2022© Reuters

Under the management of Julio Velazquez, Maritimo had a poor start to the Primeira Liga campaign, sitting second-bottom in November, leading to the dismissal of the Spaniard.

The Madeira side opted to replace him with former Moreirense boss Vasco Seabra, and that has proved to be an inspired change so far, with the side winning five of his first seven league games at the helm and only suffering one loss in the process.

While that was a 7-1 thrashing at the hands of Benfica, Os Verde-Rubros have bounced back in style, recording three straight victories heading into Saturday as they first handed defeats to Vizela and Portimonense.

Maritimo then faced the tough test of a trip to fifth-placed Braga, and Seabra's men defied the odds to stretch their winning run to three games as Claudio Winck hit the only goal of the game in the 89th minute to see his side take all three points back to Madeira.

As a result of their dramatic improvement, Os Verde-Rubros have quickly climbed away from the relegation zone and up to ninth place in the Portuguese top flight, and they will now go in search of a fourth straight win that could see them climb as high as sixth depending on other results.

They welcome a Belenenses side desperate to get off the bottom of the table after a poor start to the campaign, triggering the departure of former manager Petit with the side sat on just four points and without a victory from the opening eight league outings.

O Belem have since appointed Filipe Candido, but that has not brought about the desired change, with the side still rooted to the foot of the division with just 11 points from their 18 games.

After Abel Camara's 93rd-minute winner sealed a vital 2-1 home victory over Vizela, they will have hoped to push on with a clash against fellow strugglers Famalicao to follow, but they fell to a 1-0 defeat in that outing before being thrashed 4-1 on home soil by Porto last time out.

Candido's men took the lead through Camara, but a hat-trick from Evanilson and a Mehdi Taremi goal altered the game and ensured the title-chasing side left with a dominant win last Sunday.

Now sitting five points adrift of safety, O Belem are tasked with quickly correcting their form to keep their hopes of surviving the drop this season realistic.

Maritimo Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Belenenses Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L

Belenenses form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Maritimo are missing Ricardinho, Miguel Silva and Jorge Saenz, with all three sidelined through injuries.

After an impressive away win over Braga, Seabra is not expected to make many changes, with Ali Alipour and Joel Tagueu set to lead the line with Claudio Winck, Matheus Costa, Zainadine Junior and Vitor Costa forming the back four.

Belenenses duo Sphephelo Sithole and Abel Camara will serve suspensions on Sunday, after they were both sent off in the defeat to Porto.

Meanwhile, Rafael Camacho and Francisco Teixeira will remain in the treatment room.

However, Carraca will return to contention after he served a suspension of his own last time out.

Maritimo possible starting lineup:
Victor; Winck, M Costa, Junior, V Costa; Guitane, Beltrame, Mendes, Vidigal; Alipour, Tagueu

Belenenses possible starting lineup:
Felipe; Henriques, Tavares, Ribeiro; Carraca, Lukovic, Cafu, Sousa, Varela; Nuno, Safira


SM words green background

We say: Maritimo 2-0 Belenenses

Looking at the recent trends of the two sides, we can only see Maritimo coming out as comfortable winners on Sunday.

Os Verde-Rubros have taken huge strides under Seabra, and we back them to make it four straight wins against a Belenenses side devoid of any confidence at the foot of the table.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:475920:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect8952:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 40.81%. A win for Belenenses had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest Belenenses win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Maritimo vs Belenenses

Maritimo
70.0%
Draw
20.0%
Belenenses
10.0%
10
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Benfica's Darwin Nunez celebrates scoring against Boavista on September 20, 2021
Read Next:
Sunday's Primeira Liga predictions including Benfica vs. Pacos de Ferreira
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca311361253421145
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
10Casa Pia3088143043-1332
11SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
12Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!