Club Friendlies 3
Aug 1, 2026 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio do Marítimo
  • 74' goal

Maritimo vs Nacional - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Maritimo

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 29, 2026 7.00pm
Maritimo 0 - 0 Estrela Calheta

Nacional

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 23, 2026 5.30pm
Estrela Amadora 2 - 0 Nacional

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maritimo win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.05%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maritimo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.32%) and 2-0 (7.85%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (7.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result

Maritimo 45.21% (-0.32)
Draw 27.05% (-0.17)
Nacional 27.74% (+0.48)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.38% (+0.66)

Goals

Over 1.5 71.35% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 28.65% (-0.63)
Over 2.5 47.6% (+0.64)
Under 2.5 52.4% (-0.64)
Over 3.5 26.28% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 73.72% (-0.30)
Over 4.5 14.61% (+0.25)
Under 4.5 85.39% (-0.24)

First Half Winner

Maritimo 31.23% (-0.45)
Draw 48.42% (+1.36)
Nacional 20.34% (-0.93)

Team To Score First

Maritimo 53.61% (+0.11)
No Goal 9.28% (-0.42)
Nacional 37.11% (+0.32)

Corners

Over 8 46.83% (-0.75)
Equal 8 11.82% (-0.07)
Under 8 41.35% (+0.82)
Over 9 35.76% (-0.64)
Equal 9 11.07% (-0.11)
Under 9 53.17% (+0.75)
Over 10.5 26.21% (-0.49)
Under 10.5 73.79% (+0.49)

Maritimo Goals

Over 1.5 41.4% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 58.6% (+0.10)
Over 2.5 17.36% (+0.06)
Under 2.5 82.64% (-0.07)
Over 3.5 6.04% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.96% (-0.04)

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 61.7% (+0.70)
Under 0.5 38.3% (-0.70)
Over 1.5 28.51% (+0.62)
Under 1.5 71.49% (-0.61)
Over 2.5 10.43% (+0.38)
Under 2.5 89.57% (-0.39)
Over 3.5 3.21% (+0.13)
Under 3.5 96.79% (-0.12)

Score analysis

Maritimo 45.21%
Draw 27.04%
Nacional 27.74%
Maritimo
1-0 @ 11.64% (-0.14)
2-1 @ 9.32% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 7.85% (-0.19)
3-1 @ 4.24% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.59%
3-2 @ 2.64% (+0.03)
Other @ 5.93% (+0.03)
Total : 45.21%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% (+0.22)
0-0 @ 9.28% (-0.42)
2-2 @ 4.89% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 27.04%
Nacional
0-1 @ 7.72% (-0.09)
1-2 @ 6.55% (+0.21)
0-2 @ 4% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.53% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.98% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 1.86% (+0.18)
Other @ 3.1% (+0.13)
Total : 27.74%

Head to Head

Club Friendlies 3
Aug 4, 2024 6.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio dos Barreiros
  • redcard 36'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 23, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT TBC
Primeira Liga Gameweek 23
Mar 12, 2021 8.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Kenji Gorre 44' goal
  • Eber Bessa 70' yellowcard
  • Lucas Kal 74' yellowcard
  • Kenji Gorre 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Rodrigo Pinho 58'
  • goal Rodrigo Pinho 65'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pinho 69'
  • yellowcard Edgar Costa 90'
  • yellowcard Amir Abedzadeh 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Sassa 90'+4'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 6
Oct 31, 2020 8.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Zainadine Junior 25' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Larry Azouni 12'
  • yellowcard Vincent Thill 21'
  • yellowcard Abdullahi Ibrahim Alhassan 29'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 31, 2019 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 3 1
FT Estádio dos Barreiros (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
  • Edgar Costa 5' goal
  • Diederrick Joel 16' goal
  • Josip Vukovic 22' yellowcard
  • Getterson 35' goal
  • Pedro Pelagio 85' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Camacho 11'
  • yellowcard Jota 60'
  • yellowcard Bryan Rochez 66'
  • yellowcard Joao Camacho 84'
  • goal Bryan Rochez 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 10, 2018 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio da Madeira (Funchal (Ilha da Madeira))
  • Joao Camacho 65' goal
  • Julio 76' yellowcard
  • Sergio Marakis 81' yellowcard
  • Witi 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Zainadine Junior 52'
  • yellowcard Josip Vukovic 61'