MX23RW : Wednesday, April 24 21:07:54| >> :60:14:14:
[monks data]
Aston Villa logo
Premier League | Gameweek 35
May 9, 2021 at 2.05pm UK
Villa Park
Manchester United logo

Aston Villa
1 - 3
Man Utd

Traore (24')
Watkins (45+1'), McGinn (79')
Watkins (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Fernandes (52' pen.), Greenwood (56'), Cavani (87')
Maguire (67')

Preview: Aston Villa vs. Manchester United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Fresh from booking their place in the final of the Europa League, Manchester United begin a hectic schedule of three Premier League games in the space of just five days when they face Aston Villa on Sunday.

Victory would effectively secure a top-four spot for the Red Devils, while Aston Villa are looking for back-to-back top-flight wins for the first time this calendar year.


Match preview

Manchester United's Edinson Cavani celebrates scoring against Roma in the Europa League on May 6, 2021© Reuters

On the pitch or off the pitch, life at Manchester United is anything but dull at the moment.

The club have rarely been out of the headlines in recent weeks, whether that is for the right reasons - such as a thrilling passage through to the Europa League final - or for the wrong reasons - such as their leading involvement in the European Super League and the fan protests against the Glazers.

Those protests reached a new level of severity last weekend when supporters broke into Old Trafford, clashed with police and prevented the Man United team from leaving their hotel, ultimately leading to their match against Liverpool - the biggest fixture in the English football calendar - being postponed.

The contempt for the Glazers, and the desire for them to sell up, has arguably reached breaking point, although so far the most tangible outcome of their protests has been a fixture pile-up for the team.

Sunday's match will be their second of a four-game week, with a difficult double-header at home to Leicester City and Liverpool to come on Tuesday and Thursday respectively - the latter being rearranged to a time which neither Ole Gunnar Solskjaer or Jurgen Klopp is keen on.

Manchester United fans protest against their owners before the Manchester United v Liverpool Premier League match© Reuters

There is plenty that needs to be done to mend matters off the pitch, then, but Man United's progress and success on the pitch is in stark contrast to that and a win this weekend would effectively seal a top-four spot, lifting them at least nine points clear of fifth with three games left and a vastly superior goal difference.

The Red Devils may have been beaten in their Europa League semi-final second leg against Roma on Thursday night, and without David de Gea in inspired form things could have been even more nervy for them, but they still cruised through relatively comfortably with an 8-5 aggregate triumph.

In the Premier League, Man United have lost just four times all season - the same amount as champions-elect Manchester City - with just one of those defeats coming in their last 27 outings, including the longest ongoing unbeaten run of 13 games since their loss to Sheffield United in January.

Victory over Villarreal in the Europa League final later this month would therefore cap a season which has exceeded most expectations, and it is their away form which has provided the bedrock of that success.

Man United have picked up seven more points on the road than they have at Old Trafford this season and have now stretched their unbeaten record away from home to 24 Premier League games - just three short of Arsenal's all-time top-flight record.

Manchester United boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer pictured on April 29, 2021© Reuters

So far this calendar year Man United have kept seven clean sheets and conceded just three goals in 10 away outings, keeping them on course to become only the third club - after Preston North End in 1888-89 and Arsenal in both 2001-02 and 2003-04 - to go through an entire top-flight season unbeaten away from home. Indeed, that is a feat which has not been achieved by any club in Europe's top five leagues since Bayern Munich in 2012-13.

All of that bodes particularly badly for Aston Villa, whose home record against Man United is as bad as it gets. Man United's ongoing 21-match unbeaten run away to Aston Villa in the top flight, stretching back to the opening day of the 1995-96 season, is the longest such streak any club has enjoyed over another in English league history.

It is also 21 games across all competitions stretching back to a League Cup defeat in October 1999, when Solskjaer was in the Man United team, and only Liverpool at Sunderland, with a streak of 23 games from 1959 to 2002, have enjoyed a longer unbeaten away run against an opponent in English football.

Villa's woes in this fixture are by no means exclusive to Villa Park, though; they have only won one of their last 44 Premier League games against Man United, losing 32 of those, and are winless in their last 16 stretching back to December 2009.

History tells us that this is just about the worst fixture Villa could face, then, although their 2-1 triumph over top-four outsiders Everton last time out will have restored some confidence after a three-game winless run before that.

Aston Villa's Ollie Watkins celebrates scoring their first goal against Everton in the Premier League on May 1, 2021© Reuters

That triumph lifted Dean Smith's side into the top half of the table again, and also means that they could record consecutive Premier League wins for the first time since December.

However, Villa have not beaten a team in the top two since March 2014, and their form has certainly tailed off since the turn of the year, losing nine league games in 2021 compared to only four defeats this season before that.

Nevertheless, it has been a much-improved season on the whole and, despite four of their last five matches coming against teams above them in the table, they will be hopeful of securing a top-half finish.

Considering Villa were in the relegation zone at this stage last term, 21 points worse off than they are this time around, Smith will certainly be happy with that, and it is their defence which has shown the biggest improvement.

Villa had the worst defensive record in the league after 33 games last season, shipping 62 goals, but this time around they have the fifth-best defensive record, while only Chelsea and Man City boast more clean sheets.

Aston Villa Premier League form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W

Manchester United Premier League form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Manchester United form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L



Team News

Jack Grealish in action for Aston Villa on February 3, 2021© Reuters

Aston Villa will once again be without Jack Grealish for this match, with the talismanic skipper set to miss his 12th successive game due to a shin injury.

However, Smith is hopeful of having him back available soon, and he could even be involved when Aston Villa take on Everton this coming Thursday.

Morgan Sanson is also on the verge of returning to training, although this game will come too soon, while Trezeguet is set for a lengthy spell on the sidelines after undergoing surgery on his knee.

Trezeguet's absence is likely to result in more opportunities for Anwar El Ghazi, who has scored in his last two top-flight appearances, including the winner against Everton last time out.

Villa's main goal threat this season has been Ollie Watkins, who has netted a league-high seven goals against the established 'big six' this season and needs just one more goal to equal Julian Joachim's club record of 14 by an Englishman in a Premier League campaign.

Manchester United have no new injury concerns but are expected to rotate their squad heavily ahead of such a packed fixture schedule.

Solskjaer is likely to regard the upcoming games against Leicester and Liverpool as more difficult matches, although the fact that they all come so close together means that he will have to manage his squad carefully, and the team that plays on Sunday could therefore be similar to the one which plays next Thursday.

The likes of Marcus Rashford, Dean Henderson, Victor Lindelof and Scott McTominay were all rested from the start in midweek and so could come back into the side, while Luke Shaw and Aaron Wan-Bissaka were both taken off at half time and so should be fresh.

Paul Pogba, Edinson Cavani and Bruno Fernandes were all taken off before the end in Rome too, suggesting that they could be in line to start again this weekend, before being rested against Leicester.

Fernandes has scored the winning goal from the penalty spot in both of his Premier League games against Villa so far.

Solskjaer provided a positive injury update on Anthony Martial, whom he hopes will recover from his knee problem before the end of the season, but the Frenchman will miss out this weekend alongside Daniel James and Phil Jones.

Aston Villa possible starting lineup:
Martinez; Cash, Konsa, Mings, Targett; Luiz, McGinn; Traore, Barkley, El Ghazi; Watkins

Manchester United possible starting lineup:
Henderson; Wan-Bissaka, Lindelof, Maguire, Shaw; Fred, McTominay; Rashford, Fernandes, Pogba; Cavani


SM words green background

We say: Aston Villa 1-2 Manchester United

Historically, a Man United win away to Aston Villa is one of the safest predictions in football, and we expect that to be the case once again on Sunday.

Villa's clean sheet record is good this season, but they are also on the longest current run without one in the Premier League, conceding in each of their last seven games.

The hosts will no doubt be hoping to benefit from Man United's rotation, but the visitors could still field some big hitters for this one and we expect to see a familiar story - Man United falling behind away from home, only to come back and win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



ID:446445:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect17404:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 59.41%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 19.92%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 0-1 (8.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 2-1 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Man Utd

Aston Villa
17.6%
Draw
13.0%
Manchester United
69.4%
193
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Manchester United boss Ole Gunnar Solskjaer pictured on April 29, 2021
Read Next:
Keane urges Man United to make "big, big signing"
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Munar
Borges
7 6
5 4
Result
Navone
Popyrin
7 6
5 2
Result
Vukic
Daniel
2 77 1
6 61 6
Result
Bouzas Maneiro
Badosa
2 6 6
6 3 3
Result
Davis
Sherif
6 64 4
4 77 6
Result
Putintseva
Yuan
6 6
2 4
Result
Stephens
Trevisan
6 5 6
3 7 4
Result
Zhu
Jimenez Kasintseva
4 3
6 6
Result
Altmaier
Landaluce
6 7
1 5
Result
Rinderknech
Shevchenko
4 7 3
6 5 6
Result
Safiullin
Seyboth Wild
4 4
6 6
Result
Arango
Anisimova
1 6 77
6 4 62
Result
Sorribes Tormo
Pera
7 6
5 2
Result
Zhang
Rogers
3 2
6 6
Result
Osaka
Minnen
6 6
4 1
Result
Vekic
Siegemund
6 6
1 2
Result
Darderi
Monfils
6 6
4 2
Result
Karatsev
Marozsan
66 62
78 77
Result
Van Assche
Bergs
6 60 6
4 77 1
Result
Linette
Cocciaretto
3 6 6
6 4 4
Result
Wang
Tomova
5 7 6
7 5 4
Result
Bai
Dolehide
3 3
6 6
Result
Dart
Bucsa
4 4
6 6
Result
Raducanu
Lourdes Carle
2 2
6 6
Result
Bronzetti
Gracheva
6 6
3 3
Result
Frech
Cristian
5 2
7 6
Result
Hibino
Krueger
4 4
6 6
Result
Coric
Hassan
65 7 6
77 5 3
Result
Kokkinakis
Draper
3 6 5
6 3 7
Result
Nakashima
Bagnis
3 65
6 77
Result
Van De Zandschulp
Eubanks
6 6
3 3
Result
Baptiste
Saville
4 65
6 77
Result
Bejlek
Blinkova
4 6 6
6 3 3
Result
Errani
Wozniacki
3 7 7
6 5 5
Result
Montgomery
Avanesyan
6 6
2 2
Result
Klein
Llamas Ruiz
6 4 77
1 6 64
Result
Burel
Danilovic
6 68 4
3 710 6
5pm
Moutet
Shang
Result
Diaz Acosta
Shapovalov
4 6 3
6 3 6
Result
Andreeva
Townsend
4 6 7
6 1 5
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool34228475344174
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!