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Leicester logo
FA Cup | Quarter-Finals
Mar 21, 2021 at 5pm UK
King Power Stadium
Manchester United logo

Leicester
3 - 1
Man Utd

Iheanacho (24', 78'), Tielemans (52')
Albrighton (69'), Evans (76')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Greenwood (38')
Maguire (30'), McTominay (72')

Preview: Leicester City vs. Manchester United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's FA Cup clash between Leicester City and Manchester United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Manchester United could reach the semi-finals of the FA Cup for a record 31st time when they face Leicester City in their quarter-final at the King Power Stadium on Sunday afternoon.

The two clubs are both pushing for a top-four finish in the Premier League, but will be viewing the FA Cup as a very realistic route to silverware alongside their impressive top-flight exploits.


Match preview

Manchester United players celebrate their second goal against Leicester on December 26, 2020© Reuters

Of all the teams Leicester could have drawn in the quarter-finals, Manchester United are arguably the one they would have most wanted to avoid.

The third-placed Foxes are just one place and one point behind Sunday's visitors in the Premier League table, but Man United have been a bogey team of theirs in recent seasons.

Leicester are winless in their last 13 meetings across all competitions since their famous 5-3 triumph in September 2014, and that is their only win in the last 25 editions of this fixture - a run which includes 19 defeats.

Man United have also won both of the previous FA Cup meetings between the two, although the most recent of those was all the way back in 1976.

It is fair to say that Sunday's contest comes with the two clubs on much more even footing than most of their previous showdowns, though, and Leicester have every reason to believe that they could couple a top-four finish with FA Cup glory this season.

Manchester United's Paul Pogba celebrates scoring against AC Milan in the Europa League on March 18, 2021© Reuters

Manchester United will be thinking the same, and they also have another route to silverware still alive courtesy of their 1-0 win over AC Milan at San Siro on Thursday - a result which set up a Europa League quarter-final with Granada.

Ole Gunnar Solskjaer's side are now unbeaten in 14 games across all competitions, although those have been split evenly between seven wins and seven draws.

Man United have not lost an away domestic match since January 2020 and, while this will be their first FA Cup away game of the season, they have also won 12 of their last 15 matches on the road in this competition.

It has not been an easy route to the quarter-finals for the Red Devils, seeing off Watford, Liverpool and West Ham United - the latter via extra time - to make it into the last eight.

A 31st semi-final awaits the 12-time winners if they can claim a third successive Premier League scalp on Sunday, although they will have their work cut out for them against a Leicester side coming into this match off the back of a big win.

Leicester City's Kelechi Iheanacho celebrates scoring against Sheffield United in the Premier League on March 14, 2021© Reuters

Kelechi Iheanacho's hat-trick helped the Foxes to a 5-0 win over bottom club Sheffield United last weekend, and their Europa League exit last month means that they have had a week to rest while Man United travelled to Milan.

The victory over Sheffield United following a narrow away league triumph over Brighton & Hove Albion to make it back-to-back wins, bringing a timely end to a three-game winless run across all competitions.

Brighton were also dispatched by Leicester in the last round of this competition, with Brendan Rodgers's side having previously seen off Championship opposition in Stoke City and Brentford before that.

The Foxes have now won six of their last eight FA Cup home games, although the two defeats in that time have both come at the quarter-final stage.

Indeed, Leicester have lost each of their last five FA Cup quarter-finals - most recently against Chelsea last season - and on Sunday will be looking to reach the semi-finals of the competition for the first time since 1982.

Leicester City FA Cup form:
  • W
  • W
  • W

Leicester City form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W

Manchester United FA Cup form:
  • W
  • W
  • W

Manchester United form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W


Team News

Manchester United forward Marcus Rashford gets treatment for an injury on March 7, 2021© Reuters

Manchester United will assess the fitness of Marcus Rashford in the buildup to this match, with the striker having been taken off at half time in Milan on Thursday night.

Solskjaer insisted that the substitution was merely a precaution and remains hopeful that Rashford can at least be part of the squad for this game, although he conceded that it might be "unlikely".

Rashford's potential absence could leave the visitors short in attack, with Anthony Martial still doubtful due to a hip injury and Edinson Cavani's muscle problem still causing him issues.

Eric Bailly is also a doubt with a knock, while Juan Mata and Phil Jones remain sidelined.

Given that Man United are still fighting on three fronts, changes are expected from Solskjaer, and one of those could be a start for the fit-again Paul Pogba.

The Frenchman came off the bench to score the winner in Milan and, while he is unlikely to be ready to play for a full 90 minutes just yet, he could be in contention to make his first start since February 6.

Alex Telles, Donny van de Beek and Nemanja Matic are among the other players who will be pushing for game time if there are changes, while Solskjaer's decision regarding who plays in goal between Dean Henderson and David de Gea could offers clues as to who he now regards as his number one.

Leicester are still without a host of key players, including James Maddison, Harvey Barnes, Cengiz Under, James Justin and Wes Morgan.

Ricardo Pereira is also out after picking up a hamstring injury last weekend, but Dennis Praet could make the squad after two months out and Sidnei Tavares should be available again.

Iheanacho's hat-trick last time out should earn him another start, and he is one of eight different players to have scored for Leicester already in this season's competition - although half of those are now on the treatment table.

Leicester City possible starting lineup:
Schmeichel; Fofana, Evans, Soyuncu; Castagne, Ndidi, Tielemans, Thomas; Perez; Iheanacho, Vardy

Manchester United possible starting lineup:
Henderson; Wan-Bissaka, Lindelof, Maguire, Telles; Fred, Matic; James, Fernandes, Pogba; Greenwood


SM words green background

We say: Leicester City 1-2 Manchester United

There is barely anything separating these two sides in the Premier League table, which makes a cup game between them all the more difficult to call.

Leicester will certainly fancy their chances, but their record against Man United is poor and the visitors know what it takes to get past this stage of the competition - something Leicester have not done for almost 40 years.

It should be tight, and on paper at least looks to be the standout tie of the quarter-finals, but we are backing Manchester United to make it through to the semis.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Barney Corkhill

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leicester City win with a probability of 38.8%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 34.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leicester City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 0-1 (9.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leicester City would win this match.


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Game History

Who will progress into the FA Cup semi-finals - Leicester or Man United

Leicester City
31.8%
Manchester United
68.2%
217
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Leicester City manager Brendan Rodgers pictured on March 3, 2021
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