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Slovakia national football team
World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 27, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Štadión Antona Malatinského
Malta national football team

Slovakia
2 - 2
Malta

Strelec (49'), Skriniar (53')
Duris (40'), Koscelnik (54')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Gambin (16'), Satariano (20')
Camenzuli (23'), Bonello (85')

Preview: Slovakia vs. Malta - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's World Cup Qualifying - Europe clash between Slovakia and Malta, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Slovakia will be looking to secure their first three points in Group H when they continue their 2022 World Cup qualification campaign at home to Malta on Saturday night.

Stefan Tarkovic's side will enter the match off the back of a goalless draw with Cyprus on Thursday, while Malta suffered a 3-1 loss to Russia in their group opener on the same night.


Match preview

Slovakia's Jan Gregus celebrates scoring against Scotland in the UEFA Nations League on November 15, 2020© Reuters

Group H looks incredibly open, with Russia, Slovenia, Slovakia and Croatia all arguably battling for first position, meaning that it could be a tough campaign for both Malta and Cyprus.

Slovakia would have been looking to make a winning start against Cyprus on Wednesday, but the points were shared in a goalless draw in Nicosia, with the visitors ultimately left frustrated.

The Falcons have only ever qualified for one World Cup, famously reaching the round of 16 in 2010, but they won six of their 10 qualification matches for the 2018 competition, ultimately finishing behind England.

Slovakia will be present at this summer's European Championships, meanwhile, with a 2-1 victory over Northern Ireland at Windsor Park in November sending Tarkovic's side to the finals.

Saturday's clash is even more important for the home team considering that their next game is against Russia on March 30, and they will be determined to enter that clash with four points on the board.

Malta's Joseph Mbong celebrates scoring against Russia on March 24, 2021© Reuters

Malta had been on a seven-game unbeaten run in all competitions entering Thursday's clash with Russia, but the hosts were unable to avoid defeat at the Ta'Qali National Stadium.

Joseph Mbong got his name on the scoresheet in the 56th minute, but Russia scored twice in the first half before netting another late on as the visitors recorded a 3-1 victory.

There were certainly signs of improvement from Denis Mangia's side, though, and the Reds will believe that they are capable of making it difficult for Slovakia on Saturday evening.

Malta have never qualified for the finals of a major tournament, and they have only won one match in their last six qualification campaigns combined, which is an indication of the size of their task in Group H.

There is once again plenty of experience at the back in the shape of Steve Borg and Andrei Agius, but Mangia has selected a youthful attack, with teenagers Alexander Satariano and Paul Mbong both included, and the fact that they had five shots on target against Russia is a huge positive.

Slovakia World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • D

Slovakia form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D

Malta World Cup Qualifying - Europe form:
  • L

Malta form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • L


Team News

Malta's Alexander Satariano in action against Russia on March 24, 2021© Reuters

Slovakia boss Tarkovic is expected to resist the temptation to shuffle his pack for this match, with the bulk of the side that started against Cyprus set to keep their positions.

There could be a change in the final third of the field, though, with Michal Duris potentially coming in for Robert Bozenik in the centre-forward position.

The home side's XI will again include familiar faces in the shape of Newcastle United's Martin Dubravka, Inter Milan's Milan Skriniar and Parma's Juraj Kucka.

As for Malta, Mangia is unlikely to make many changes from the side that started against Russia, with the same back three likely to take to the field, with Joseph Mbong and Ryan Camenzuli in the wing-back positions.

There could be alterations in the final third, though, with Satariano and Paul Mbong both impressing in the second half on Thursday, meaning that the pair could come into the XI.

Steve Pisani is also an option for change in a midfield area, but Matthew Guillaumier is again expected to be given the nod in the middle of the park alongside Bjorn Kristensen.

Slovakia possible starting lineup:
Dubravka; Pekarik, Skriniar, Hancko, Hubocan; Kucka, Hrosovsky, Bero; Duda, Duris, Rusnak

Malta possible starting lineup:
Bonello; Shaw, Agius, Borg; J Mbong, Kristensen, Guillaumier, Camenzuli; Teuma, Satariano, P Mbong


SM words green background

We say: Slovakia 1-0 Malta

Malta are an improving team, with their performance against Russia on Thursday an example of their progress. Slovakia will be the favourites to triumph on Saturday, and we are expecting a home victory, but it should be a tight and cagey affair in Trnava.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a draw in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw:data



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slovakia win with a probability of 61.53%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Malta had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Slovakia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.62%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Malta win it was 0-1 (6.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.


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