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Malawi national football team
Africa Cup of Nations | Group Stage
Jan 14, 2022 at 4pm UK
 
Zimbabwe national football team

Malawi
2 - 1
Zimbabwe

Mhango (43', 58')
Sanudi (49'), Kakhobwe (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Wadi (38')
Kangwa (20'), Hadebe (29'), Madzongwe (83')

Preview: Malawi vs. Zimbabwe - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Malawi and Zimbabwe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two teams looking to get their Africa Cup of Nations campaigns up and running face off at the Kouekong Stadium, as Malawi and Zimbabwe square up against each other.

Both teams suffered defeat in their respective opening Group B fixtures last time out and will want to get back on track with a positive result on Thursday.


Match preview

Malawi had nothing to show for a very spirited display against Guinea on Monday when they fell to a narrow 1-0 defeat.

The Flames went behind to Issiaga Sylla's 35th-minute opener and were unable to get back on level terms in the second period.

Meke Mwase's men have now lost five consecutive games across all competitions and are in urgent need of a pick-me-up.

Awaiting them next is a clash versus an opposing outfit who have lost only one of the previous 10 meetings between the teams.

Featuring in just their third AFCON tournament in history, Malawi are approaching the last-chance saloon to prevent an early exit from the competition.

Zimbabwe were undone in the dying minutes of their clash versus Senegal on Monday which finished 1-0.

Norman Mapeza's men were on course to secure an impressive point against their more illustrious opponents, only for Sadio Mane to break the deadlock from the spot right at the death.

The Warriors find themselves in a familiar situation once again as they stare down the possibility of a third group-stage exit on the bounce.

However, the southern Africans will take great belief from their performance last time out and will hope to use it as a springboard for a more productive outing going forward.

Malawi Africa Cup of Nations form:
  • L

Malawi form (all competitions):
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L

Zimbabwe Africa Cup of Nations form:
  • L

Zimbabwe form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L



Team News

Kelvin Madzongwe suffered the agony of giving away the decisive penalty against Senegal, but the midfielder put on an otherwise impressive display and should keep his place in the XI.

Knowledge Musona was hauled off with an injury in the final knockings of the aforementioned match, making the 31-year-old a major doubt for this one

Malawi have had to call upon the services of five reserve-team players due to the numerous cases of COVID-19 within the initial 28-man squad.

Brighton Munthali, Paul Ndlovu, Dan Chimbalanga, Gerald Phiri, and Stain Dave are the players in question and are all expected to arrive in Cameroon ahead of Thursday's contest.

Malawi possible starting lineup:
Kakhobwe; Chembezi, Mzava, Chirwa; Madinga, Idana, J. Banda, Mhone; P. Banda, Chester, Muyaba

Zimbabwe possible starting lineup:
Mhari; Bhasera, Hadebe, Takwara, Chimwemwe; Madzongwe, Benyu, Musona; Wadi, Kangwa, Dube


SM words green background

We say: Malawi 1-1 Zimbabwe

With so much at stake, we expect both teams to be fired up which should make for an open and end-to-end contest. That said, we are predicting a stalemate with honours even come the end of the 90 minutes.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malawi win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Zimbabwe had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malawi win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Zimbabwe win was 0-1 (8.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malawi would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Malawi vs Zimbabwe

Malawi
27.7%
Draw
18.1%
Zimbabwe
54.2%
155
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General view inside the Olembe stadium ahead of the Africa Cup of Nations Group A match Cameroon v Burkina Faso on January 8, 2022
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Equatorial Guinea flag Eq Guinea32107
Q Nigeria Nigeria32107
Q Cote D'Ivoire flag Ivory Coast31023
4 Guinea-Bissau flag Guinea-Bissau30030

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Cape Verde flag Cape Verde32107
Q Egypt Egypt30303
3 Ghana flag Ghana30212
4 Mozambique flag Mozambique30212

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Senegal flag Senegal33009
Q Guinea flag Guinea31114
Q Cameroon flag Cameroon31114
4 Gambia flag Gambia30030

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Angola Angola32107
Q Burkina Faso flag Burkina Faso31114
Q Mauritania flag Mauritania31023
4 Algeria Algeria30212

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Mali flag Mali31205
Q South Africa South Africa31114
Q Namibia Namibia31114
4 Tunisia Tunisia30212

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Morocco Morocco32107
Q DR Congo flag Congo DR30303
3 Tanzania flag Tanzania30212
4 Zambia flag Zambia30212


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