Club Friendlies 3
Jul 30, 2026 6.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio La Rosaleda
  • Adrián Niño 55' goal
  • Joaquín Muñoz 58' goal
  • goal Steven Bergwijn 1'
  • goal George Ilenikhena 34'

Malaga vs Al Ittihad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Malaga

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 6.00pm
Malaga 3 - 3 Leicester

Al Ittihad

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 30, 2026 9.00am
Mallorca 4 - 2 Al Ittihad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malaga win with a probability of 41.08%. A win for Al Ittihad had a probability of 33.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malaga win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.87%) and 2-0 (5.94%). The likeliest Al Ittihad win was 1-2 (7.56%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.

Result

Malaga 41.08% ▲ (+0.12)
Draw 25.39% ▼ (-0.15)
Al Ittihad 33.53% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.9% ▲ (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.96% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 1.5 21.04% ▼ (-0.14)
Over 2.5 57.04% ▲ (+0.19)
Under 2.5 42.96% ▼ (-0.19)
Over 3.5 35.39% ▲ (+0.17)
Under 3.5 64.61% ▼ (-0.16)
Over 4.5 21.45% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 4.5 78.55% ▼ (-0.15)

First Half Winner

Malaga 30.8% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 42.8%
Al Ittihad 26.41% ▼ (-0.04)

Team To Score First

Malaga 51.18% ▼ (-0.11)
No Goal 6.37% ▼ (-0.05)
Al Ittihad 42.45% ▲ (+0.16)

Corners

Over 8 54.21% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 8 11.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 8 34.04% ▲ (+0.32)
Over 9 42.57% ▼ (-0.33)
Equal 9 11.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 9 45.79% ▲ (+0.33)
Over 10.5 31.99% ▼ (-0.29)
Under 10.5 68.01% ▲ (+0.29)

Malaga Goals

Over 1.5 43.9% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 56.1% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 2.5 20.21% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 2.5 79.79% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 3.5 7.32% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 92.68% ▼ (-0.03)

Al Ittihad Goals

Over 0.5 69.71% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 30.29% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.23% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 61.77% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 16.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 83.77% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 6.07% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 93.93% ▼ (-0.03)

Score analysis

Malaga 41.08%
Draw 25.4%
Al Ittihad 33.54%
Malaga
2-1 @ 8.86% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.87% ▼ (-0.05)
2-0 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 4.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.72% ▲ (+0.06)
3-0 @ 2.99% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 7.14% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 41.08%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.24% ▼ (-0.09)
0-0 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.99%
3-3 @ 1.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.18% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 25.4%
Al Ittihad
1-2 @ 7.56%
0-1 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.9%
0-3 @ 2.24% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 5.89% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 33.54%